Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 7/20/2019
Saturday, July 20, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Tom Eshelman
Oriole Park is the site where Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (29-66, 5th in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (53-44, 3rd in AL East) on Saturday. The line on this game has the Red Sox coming in at -200 and the Orioles are at +185. The over/under has been set at 11.5.
The Red Sox have been good for MLB wagerers, having gone 53-44-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 30.5% of the time, going 29-66-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been bad for Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 46-35-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 29.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 27-64-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been an awful Under option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 55-39-3.
The Red Sox cover 60.4% of the time as the away team, having gone 29-19-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore is covering 27.1% of the time at Oriole Park, going 13-35-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a solid Over option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 46-43-6.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/19/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/17/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/17/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/14/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
7/16/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/13/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/13/2019 Dylan Bundy SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 53-44 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 7-7 record with an earned run average of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 83 strikeouts over his 105.2 innings pitched and he's given up 119 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 349 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 448 hitters and walked 173 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 846 base hits and 450 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 330 batters and struck out 970. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team Boston is hitting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .326 with an on-base percentage of .380. He has 121 hits this season in 371 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .558 and an OPS+ of 139. J.D. Martinez is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 99 hits and he has driven in 49 men in 342 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .518. The Red Sox have 936 hits, including 201 doubles and 140 home runs. Boston has walked 372 times so far this season and they have struck out 804 times as a unit. They have left 715 men on base and have a team OPS of .810. They score 5.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 542 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 29-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.06, Tom Eshelman has a 0-1 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 10.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.16 and they have given up 408 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 367 batters and walked 178 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.66. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 891 base knocks and 527 earned runs this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 335 hitters and struck out 726 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.69.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Orioles hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .255 with an OBP of .319. He has 93 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 364 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .407 with an OPS+ of 93. Trey Mancini is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 98 hits in 344 at bats while driving in 43 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .520. The Orioles as a unit have 775 base hits, including 144 doubles and 114 homers. Baltimore has walked 252 times this year and they have struck out on 856 occasions. They have had 606 men left on base and have an OPS of .699. They have scored 4.17 runs per game and totaled 396 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -200
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