Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 7/21/2019
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Andrew Cashner vs. Asher Wojciechowski
Oriole Park is the venue where Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (30-66, 5th in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (53-45, 3rd in AL East) on Sunday. The Orioles open this matchup at +199 while the Red Sox are coming in at -215. The total has been set at 12.
The Red Sox have been good for bettors, having gone 53-45-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 31.2% of the time, going 30-66-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a strong pick for baseball bettors as favorites, going 46-36-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 30.4% of the time as an underdog, having gone 28-64-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been an awful Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 56-39-3.
Boston is covering 59.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 29-20-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore is covering 28.6% of the time at Oriole Park, going 14-35-0 SU.
The Orioles have been an inconsistent Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 47-43-6.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/19/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/17/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/17/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/14/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
7/19/2019 Pedro Severino C Illness Probable for Jul 20
7/16/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/13/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/13/2019 Dylan Bundy SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 53-45 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Andrew Cashner has a 9-4 record with an earned run average of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 68 strikeouts over his 101.1 innings pitched and he's given up 94 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 451 hitters and walked 175 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 862 base hits and 461 earned runs. They have allowed 130 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 335 batters and struck out 992. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team Boston is hitting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 99 hits this season in 349 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .507 and an OPS+ of 122. Rafael Devers is hitting .322 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 122 hits and he has driven in 73 men in 379 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .557. The Red Sox have 950 hits, including 202 doubles and 143 home runs. Boston has walked 379 times so far this season and they have struck out 819 times as a unit. They have left 729 men on base and have a team OPS of .807. They score 5.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 549 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 30-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.74, Asher Wojciechowski has a 0-3 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 15.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 16 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.11 and they have given up 411 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 372 batters and walked 178 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.62. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 898 base knocks and 529 earned runs this season. They have given up 184 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 337 hitters and struck out 732 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.68.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Orioles hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .347. He has 99 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 348 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .517 with an OPS+ of 126. Jonathan Villar is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 95 hits in 369 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .407. The Orioles as a unit have 789 base hits, including 145 doubles and 116 homers. Baltimore has walked 255 times this year and they have struck out on 863 occasions. They have had 614 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They have scored 4.24 runs per game and totaled 407 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -215
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