Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies Expert MLB Picks 8/27/2019
Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. German Marquez
Coors Field is the venue where Charlie Blackmon and the Colorado Rockies (58-73, 5th in NL West) will play the Boston Red Sox (70-62, 3rd in AL East) on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Red Sox coming in at -103 and the Rockies are at -107. The over/under is set at 13.5.
The Red Sox have been solid for wagerers, having gone 70-62-0 SU. Colorado is covering 44.3% of the time, going 58-73-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a rough Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 75-53-4.
The Red Sox cover 56.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 36-28-0 straight up.
Important Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
Colorado is covering 53.2% of the time at Coors Field, going 33-29-0 SU.
The Rockies have been a good Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 65-60-6.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
8/25/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/25/2019 Andrew Benintendi LF Side Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/23/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/23/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/20/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Colorado Rockies Injuries
8/25/2019 Chad Bettis RP Hip Out for the season
8/25/2019 Raimel Tapia LF Hand Probable for Aug 26
8/22/2019 Jon Gray SP Foot Out for the season
8/22/2019 Kyle Freeland SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2019 Scott Oberg RP Arm Out for the season
8/19/2019 David Dahl CF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
7/17/2019 Brendan Rodgers 2B Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Tyler Anderson SP Knee Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 70-62 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 11-10 record with an earned run average of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 112 strikeouts over his 144.1 innings pitched and he's given up 161 hits. He's allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 448 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 605 hitters and walked 233 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,147 base hits and 616 earned runs. They have allowed 174 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 468 batters and struck out 1,308. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team Boston is hitting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .285 with an on-base percentage of .387. He has 146 hits this season in 513 at bats with 67 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .501 and an OPS+ of 128. Rafael Devers is hitting .326 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 171 hits and he has driven in 103 men in 525 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .583. The Red Sox have 1,299 hits, including 297 doubles and 204 home runs. Boston has walked 484 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,110 times as a unit. They have left 964 men on base and have a team OPS of .825. They score 5.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 757 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Colorado has a 58-73 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.76, German Marquez has a 12-5 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 175 strikeouts over the 174 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 173 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.26 and they have given up 482 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Rockies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 428 batters and walked 200 opposing hitters. As a team, Colorado allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.55. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,268 base knocks and 719 earned runs this season. They have given up 207 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Colorado as a staff has walked 458 hitters and struck out 1,028 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 5.04.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 5th in the league. The Rockies hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Charlie Blackmon comes into this matchup batting .318 with an OBP of .364. He has 152 hits this year along with 72 RBI in 478 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .588 with an OPS+ of 124. Nolan Arenado is hitting .305 this season and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 149 hits in 489 at bats while driving in 100 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .566. The Rockies as a unit have 1,223 base hits, including 271 doubles and 172 homers. Colorado has walked 391 times this year and they have struck out on 1,199 occasions. They have had 857 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They have scored 5.27 runs per game and totaled 690 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rockies MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Rockies (-107)
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