Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 7/5/2019
Friday, July 5, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Jordan Zimmermann
Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers (27-54, 4th in AL Central) play the Boston Red Sox (45-41, 3rd in AL East) at Comerica Park on Friday, July 5, 2019. The Tigers open this game at +110 while the Red Sox are priced at -120. The O/U is set at 9.
The Red Sox have been pretty good for wagerers, having gone 45-41-0 SU. The Tigers cover 33.3% of the time, going 27-54-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been pretty good for wagerers as the favorite, going 39-32-0 SU. Detroit covers 30.3% of the time as an underdog, having gone 20-46-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been an awful Under choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 48-35-3.
Boston covers 56.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 25-19-0 straight up.
Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
Detroit covers 29.3% of the time at Comerica Park, going 12-29-0 SU.
The Tigers have been a pretty good Under choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 35-41-5.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/3/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/2/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/2/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
7/4/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 14
7/3/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/28/2019 Spencer Turnbull SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/9/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 45-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 8-4 record with an earned run average of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.36 this season. He has 102 strikeouts over his 97.2 innings pitched and he's given up 102 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 399 hitters and walked 154 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 746 base hits and 396 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 294 batters and struck out 876. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.
As a team Boston is hitting .270, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .370. He has 90 hits this season in 304 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .539 and an OPS+ of 133. Rafael Devers is hitting .328 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 108 hits and he has driven in 58 men in 329 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .544. The Red Sox have 826 hits, including 176 doubles and 125 home runs. Boston has walked 330 times so far this season and they have struck out 724 times as a unit. They have left 634 men on base and have a team OPS of .803. They score 5.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 476 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Detroit has a 27-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.36, Jordan Zimmermann has a 0-5 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 45.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 48 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 310 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 266 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 756 base knocks and 395 earned runs this season. They have given up 125 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 268 hitters and struck out 655 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.
As a team, they are batting .230, good for 30th in the league. The Tigers hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .346. He has 89 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 314 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .475 with an OPS+ of 115. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .301 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 81 hits in 269 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .387. The Tigers as a unit have 636 base hits, including 152 doubles and 70 homers. Detroit has walked 225 times this year and they have struck out on 797 occasions. They have had 548 men left on base and have an OPS of .666. They have scored 3.48 runs per game and totaled 285 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Tigers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +110
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Josh Schonwald
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks