Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 7/6/2019
Saturday, July 6, 2019
Comerica Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Jordan Zimmermann
Comerica Park is the venue where Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers (28-54, 4th in AL Central) will play the Boston Red Sox (46-41, 3rd in AL East) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Red Sox priced at -125 and the Tigers are at +115. The O/U is set at 9.5.
The Red Sox have been a decent bet for MLB wagerers, having gone 46-41-0 SU. Detroit is covering 34.2% of the time, going 28-54-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been lousy for oddsmakers as favorites, going 40-32-0 SU. The Tigers are covering 31.3% of the time as an underdog, having gone 21-46-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been an excellent Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 49-35-3.
Boston is covering 57.8% of the time on the road, having gone 26-19-0 straight up.
Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
Detroit is covering 29.3% of the time at Comerica Park, going 12-29-0 SU.
The Tigers have been a hot and cold Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 36-41-5.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/2/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/2/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
7/5/2019 Victor Alcantara RP Face Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/4/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 14
7/3/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/28/2019 Spencer Turnbull SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/9/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 46-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 76 strikeouts over his 94 innings pitched and he's given up 102 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 312 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 405 hitters and walked 157 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 757 base hits and 403 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 299 batters and struck out 883. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Boston is hitting .270, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .331 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 110 hits this season in 332 at bats with 59 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .554 and an OPS+ of 141. J.D. Martinez is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 93 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 308 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .542. The Red Sox have 834 hits, including 176 doubles and 128 home runs. Boston has walked 334 times so far this season and they have struck out 731 times as a unit. They have left 638 men on base and have a team OPS of .803. They score 5.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 484 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Detroit has a 28-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.36, Jordan Zimmermann has a 0-5 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 45.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 48 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 314 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 269 batters and walked 137 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 769 base knocks and 400 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 269 hitters and struck out 671 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.87.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .232, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .303 with an OBP of .367. He has 83 hits this year along with 36 RBI in 274 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .401 with an OPS+ of 105. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 91 hits in 319 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .476. The Tigers as a unit have 651 base hits, including 157 doubles and 73 homers. Detroit has walked 225 times this year and they have struck out on 804 occasions. They have had 554 men left on base and have an OPS of .672. They have scored 3.57 runs per game and totaled 296 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Tigers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +115
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