Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees MLB Picks & Predictions 5/30/2019
Thursday, May 30, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. J.A. Happ
J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (29-26, 3rd in AL East) travel to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (35-19, 1st in AL East). The Yankees open this contest at +130 while the Red Sox are coming in at -140. The over/under is set at 8.5.
The Red Sox have been dicey for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 29-26-0 SU. The Yankees are covering 64.8% of the time, going 35-19-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 25-22-0 SU. New York is covering 40.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 4-6-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a bad Under bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 31-22-2.
Boston is covering 50.0% of the time away from home, having gone 15-15-0 straight up.
Important New York Yankees Betting Trends
New York is covering 62.1% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 18-11-0 SU.
The Yankees have been a bad Under bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 29-22-3.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
5/28/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Knee Probable for May 29
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
5/28/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/23/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/7/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least May 30
4/23/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 12
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key New York Yankees Injuries
5/28/2019 Aaron Judge RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/26/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 5
5/26/2019 Didi Gregorius SS Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 5
5/23/2019 CC Sabathia SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 2
5/22/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/21/2019 James Paxton SP Knee Expected to be out until at least May 29
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
5/21/2019 Dellin Betances RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
5/20/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
5/15/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
5/12/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/5/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
4/21/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
4/4/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
3/23/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 29-26 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Sale has a 1-6 record with an earned run average of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.06 this season. He has 88 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he's given up 48 hits. He's allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen and they've struck out 235 hitters and walked 91 batters. As a team, Boston allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 433 base hits and 233 earned runs. They have allowed 71 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 186 batters and struck out 531. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team Boston is hitting .258, good for 5th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 57 hits this season in 186 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .543 and an OPS+ of 143. Mookie Betts is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .400. He has totaled 60 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 208 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .471. The Red Sox have 492 hits, including 102 doubles and 78 home runs. Boston has walked 226 times so far this season and they have struck out 444 times as a unit. They have left 399 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 5.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 294 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 35-19 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.09, J.A. Happ has a 4-3 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 58.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 59 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.35. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 241 batters and walked 85 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 423 base knocks and 204 earned runs this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 169 hitters and struck out 517 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 9th in the league. The Yankees hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Luke Voit comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .377. He has 51 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 197 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .492 with an OPS+ of 130. Gleyber Torres is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 57 hits in 201 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .537. The Yankees as a unit have 468 base hits, including 78 doubles and 86 homers. New York has walked 199 times this year and they have struck out on 465 occasions. They have had 349 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 5.35 runs per game and totaled 289 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Yankees MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -140
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