Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees MLB Picks & Predictions 8/4/2019
Sunday, August 4, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. J.A. Happ
Mookie Betts and the Boston Red Sox (59-52, 3rd in AL East) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Sunday where they'll take on the New York Yankees (69-39, 1st in AL East).
The Red Sox have been dicey for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 59-52-0 SU. New York is covering 63.9% of the time, going 69-39-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a very good Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 66-42-3.
The Red Sox cover 58.2% of the time as the away team, having gone 32-23-0 straight up.
Important New York Yankees Betting Trends
New York is covering 69.0% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 40-18-0 SU.
The Yankees have been a very good Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 59-45-4.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
8/2/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
8/2/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/31/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key New York Yankees Injuries
8/3/2019 Didi Gregorius SS Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/31/2019 Luke Voit 1B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/31/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/31/2019 CC Sabathia SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/31/2019 David Hale RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/30/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/30/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/28/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/27/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/25/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/22/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 59-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Price has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 123 strikeouts over his 102.2 innings pitched and he's given up 99 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.53 and they have given up 391 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 502 hitters and walked 196 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 983 base hits and 528 earned runs. They have allowed 149 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 390 batters and struck out 1,126. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.
As a team Boston is hitting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .474 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.9 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .392. He has 124 hits this season in 433 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .501 and an OPS+ of 130. Rafael Devers is hitting .324 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 142 hits and he has driven in 84 men in 438 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .566. The Red Sox have 1,094 hits, including 243 doubles and 170 home runs. Boston has walked 411 times so far this season and they have struck out 937 times as a unit. They have left 813 men on base and have a team OPS of .820. They score 5.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 642 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 69-39 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.19, J.A. Happ has a 8-6 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 109.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 119 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 389 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 467 batters and walked 166 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 940 base knocks and 466 earned runs this season. They have given up 169 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 328 hitters and struck out 1,001 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .471 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Aaron Judge comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .399. He has 54 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 193 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .487 with an OPS+ of 136. Gleyber Torres is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .355. He has collected 107 hits in 372 at bats while driving in 60 runs. He has an OPS+ of 127 and a slugging percentage of .505. The Yankees as a unit have 990 base hits, including 184 doubles and 181 homers. New York has walked 401 times this year and they have struck out on 961 occasions. They have had 706 men left on base and have an OPS of .814. They have scored 5.77 runs per game and totaled 623 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Yankees MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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