Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies Expert MLB Picks 9/14/2019

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Aaron Nola

Mookie Betts and the Boston Red Sox (77-70, 3rd in AL East) go to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (76-70, 4th in NL East). The Red Sox open this matchup at +109 while the Phillies are coming in at -119. The over/under has been set at 9.

The Red Sox have been a good option for wagerers, having gone 77-70-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 52.0% of the time, going 76-70-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a terrible Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 80-63-4.

Boston is covering 56.9% of the time as the visitor, having gone 41-31-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia is covering 56.6% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 43-33-0 SU.

The Phillies have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 68-74-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/10/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/10/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/5/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/12/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/11/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/10/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/10/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/10/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 77-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 17-6 record with an earned run average of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 177 strikeouts over his 178.2 innings pitched and he's given up 173 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 532 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 689 hitters and walked 283 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,287 base hits and 689 earned runs. They have allowed 195 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 540 batters and struck out 1,458. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .293 with an on-base percentage of .391. He has 168 hits this season in 573 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .527 and an OPS+ of 135. Rafael Devers is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 183 hits and he has driven in 107 men in 583 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .563. The Red Sox have 1,414 hits, including 324 doubles and 226 home runs. Boston has walked 533 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,232 times as a unit. They have left 1,053 men on base and have a team OPS of .814. They score 5.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 823 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 76-70 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.70, Aaron Nola has a 12-5 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 207 strikeouts over the 184.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 158 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 527 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 512 batters and walked 211 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,324 base knocks and 664 earned runs this season. They have given up 235 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 491 hitters and struck out 1,238 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 19th in the league. The Phillies hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .374. He has 122 hits this year along with 80 RBI in 517 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .474 with an OPS+ of 118. Bryce Harper is hitting .253 this season and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 131 hits in 517 at bats while driving in 102 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .495. The Phillies as a unit have 1,246 base hits, including 284 doubles and 195 homers. Philadelphia has walked 523 times this year and they have struck out on 1,300 occasions. They have had 1,029 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They have scored 4.9 runs per game and totaled 715 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies (-119)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald