Boston Red Sox at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 8/23/2019
Friday, August 23, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Chris Paddack
Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (59-67, 4th in NL West) host the Boston Red Sox (67-61, 3rd in AL East) at Petco Park on Friday, August 23, 2019. The Red Sox open this matchup at -106 while the Padres are priced at -104. The O/U has been set at 8.5.
The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 67-60-0 SU. The Padres are covering 47.2% of the time, going 59-66-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been an excellent Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 74-50-3.
The Red Sox are covering 55.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 34-27-0 straight up.
Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres are covering 46.8% of the time at Petco Park, going 29-33-0 SU.
The Padres have been a hot and cold Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 58-58-9.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
8/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/18/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/16/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/20/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/16/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season
8/16/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/13/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/10/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
8/7/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 67-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 14-5 record with an earned run average of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 149 strikeouts over his 153.2 innings pitched and he's given up 149 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 444 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 588 hitters and walked 226 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,130 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 456 batters and struck out 1,281. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team Boston is hitting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .480 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .329 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 168 hits this season in 511 at bats with 102 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .591 and an OPS+ of 144. Mookie Betts is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 142 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 501 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .501. The Red Sox have 1,269 hits, including 291 doubles and 200 home runs. Boston has walked 473 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,088 times as a unit. They have left 940 men on base and have a team OPS of .826. They score 5.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 739 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
San Diego has a 59-67 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.44, Chris Paddack has a 7-6 record and a 0.98 WHIP. He has 121 strikeouts over the 115 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 87 hits. He's allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 521 batters and walked 158 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,093 base knocks and 560 earned runs this season. They have given up 167 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 344 hitters and struck out 1,124 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .331. He has 140 hits this year along with 82 RBI in 491 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .448 with an OPS+ of 104. Manny Machado is hitting .266 this season and he has an OBP of .334. He has collected 126 hits in 474 at bats while driving in 71 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .470. The Padres as a unit have 1,035 base hits, including 178 doubles and 188 homers. San Diego has walked 377 times this year and they have struck out on 1,224 occasions. They have had 773 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They have scored 4.48 runs per game and totaled 564 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Padres MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-106)
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