Boston Red Sox at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 8/25/2019
Sunday, August 25, 2019
Petco Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Brian Johnson vs. Joey Lucchesi
Petco Park is the venue where Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (59-68, 4th in NL West) will play the Boston Red Sox (69-61, 3rd in AL East) on Sunday. The Red Sox open this contest at -101 while the Padres are coming in at -109. The O/U has been set at 9.
The Red Sox have been a good play for baseball bettors, having gone 69-61-0 SU. San Diego covers 46.5% of the time, going 59-68-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a very good Over choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 75-52-3.
The Red Sox cover 56.5% of the time away from home, having gone 35-27-0 straight up.
Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres cover 46.0% of the time at Petco Park, going 29-34-0 SU.
The Padres have been a pretty good Under choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 59-59-9.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
8/23/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/23/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/23/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
8/23/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/23/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/20/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season
8/16/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/10/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
8/7/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 69-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brian Johnson has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 6.58 and a WHIP of 2.04 this season. He has 21 strikeouts over his 26 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He's allowed 14.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 444 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 590 hitters and walked 226 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,135 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 457 batters and struck out 1,289. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Boston is hitting .277, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .481 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.9 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .285 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 144 hits this season in 505 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .503 and an OPS+ of 128. Rafael Devers is hitting .331 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 171 hits and he has driven in 103 men in 516 at bats. His OPS+ is 145 while his slugging percentage is at .593. The Red Sox have 1,285 hits, including 295 doubles and 202 home runs. Boston has walked 476 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,092 times as a unit. They have left 949 men on base and have a team OPS of .828. They score 5.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 751 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
San Diego has a 59-68 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.20, Joey Lucchesi has a 8-7 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 129 strikeouts over the 133 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 113 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have given up 477 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 524 batters and walked 159 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,107 base knocks and 570 earned runs this season. They have given up 169 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 346 hitters and struck out 1,127 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .333. He has 126 hits this year along with 71 RBI in 476 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .468 with an OPS+ of 109. Eric Hosmer is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 141 hits in 494 at bats while driving in 82 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .447. The Padres as a unit have 1,041 base hits, including 178 doubles and 188 homers. San Diego has walked 378 times this year and they have struck out on 1,231 occasions. They have had 776 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They have scored 4.44 runs per game and totaled 564 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Padres MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-101)
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