Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks 3/31/2019
Sunday, March 31, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Wade LeBlanc
T-Mobile Park is the site of the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Seattle Mariners on Sunday, March 31, 2019. The probable starting pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Wade LeBlanc for the Mariners.
Boston opens at -137 while Seattle opens at +127. The Red Sox had a 84-81-9 over/under record and a 101-73-0 run line mark last year. The Mariners were 79-83-0 against the run line and had a 79-81-2 over/under record.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox were 84-81-9 against the over/under last season
The Boston Red Sox were 101-73-0 against the run line last year
Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners were 79-81-2 against the over/under last season
The Seattle Mariners were 79-83-0 against the run line last year
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
03/28/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 3B Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/27/19 1B Steve Pearce Calf 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
03/25/19 P Anthony Swarzak Shoulder 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Gerson Bautista Pectoral 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 3B Kyle Seager Hand 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Sam Tuivailala Achilles 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Shawn Armstrong Undisclosed 10-day IL (03/17)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox had a 108-54 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello had a 17-7 record with an earned run average of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.18. He had 190 strikeouts over his 191.1 innings pitched and he gave up 177 hits. He allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.72 and they gave up 515 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the bullpen and they struck out 628 hitters while walking 245 batters. As a team, Boston allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They were 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Red Sox pitchers collectively gave up 1,306 base hits and 609 earned runs last year. They allowed 176 home runs last season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff walked 512 batters and struck out 1,558. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit was 3.82.
As a team Boston hit .268, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox held a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which was good for 1st in baseball. They ranked 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Mookie Betts hit .346 with an on-base percentage of .438 last year. He had 180 hits last season in 520 at bats with 80 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .640 and an OPS+ of 186. J.D. Martinez hit .330 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .402. He totaled 188 hits and he drove in 130 men in 569 at bats. His OPS+ was 173 while his slugging percentage was at .629. The Red Sox had 1,509 hits last season, including 355 doubles and 208 home runs. Boston walked 569 times last year and they struck out 1,253 times as a unit. They left 1,124 men on base and had a team OPS of .792. They scored 5.41 runs per contest and scored a total of 876 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Seattle had a 89-73 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.72, Wade LeBlanc had a 9-5 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He had 130 strikeouts over the 162 innings he pitched. He also gave up 151 hits. He allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.28. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.76 and they gave up 512 base hits on the year. Teams hit .240 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers struck out 556 batters and walked 174 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They were 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Mariners pitchers as a team surrendered 1,396 base knocks and 664 earned runs last season. They gave up 195 home runs last year, which ranked 12th in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff walked 400 hitters and struck out 1,328 batters. They gave up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.24 while their FIP as a staff was 4.06.
As a team, they batted .254, good for 8th in the league. The Mariners held a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which was good for 18th in baseball. They ranked 9th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup after batting .268 with an OBP of .288 last season. He had 149 hits last year along with 36 RBI in 556 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .349 with an OPS+ of 78. Mitch Haniger hit .285 last season and he had an OBP of .366. He collected 170 hits in 596 at bats while driving in 93 runs. He had an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .493. The Mariners as a unit had 1,402 base hits last season, including 256 doubles and 176 homers. Seattle walked 430 times last year and they struck out on 1,221 occasions. They left 1,084 men on base and had an OPS of .722. They scored 4.18 runs per game and totaled 677 runs last year.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Mariners MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners +127
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