Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners MLB Picks & Predictions 3/29/2019

Friday, March 29, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs. Yusei Kikuchi

The Boston Red Sox visit T-Mobile Park on Friday, March 29, 2019 to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Nathan Eovaldi for the Red Sox and Yusei Kikuchi for the Mariners.

The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -143 and Seattle at +133. The Red Sox had a 84-81-9 over/under record and a 101-73-0 run line mark last season. The Mariners were 79-83-0 against the run line and had a 79-81-2 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox were 84-81-9 against the over/under last year

The Boston Red Sox were 101-73-0 against the run line last season

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners were 79-81-2 against the over/under last year

The Seattle Mariners were 79-83-0 against the run line last season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

03/28/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 3B Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/27/19 1B Steve Pearce Calf 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

03/28/19 CF Mallex Smith Elbow is upgraded to is in the starting lineup Thursday vs Boston Red Sox
03/25/19 P Anthony Swarzak Shoulder 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Gerson Bautista Pectoral 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 3B Kyle Seager Hand 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Sam Tuivailala Achilles 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Shawn Armstrong Undisclosed 10-day IL (03/17)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox had a 108-54 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi had a 6-7 record with an earned run average of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.13. He had 101 strikeouts over his 111 innings pitched and he gave up 105 hits. He allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.6. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.72 and they gave up 515 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the bullpen while striking out 628 hitters and walking 245 batters. As a team, Boston allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They were 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Red Sox pitchers collectively gave up 1,306 base hits and 609 earned runs last year. They allowed 176 home runs last season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff walked 512 batters and struck out 1,558. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit was 3.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston hit .268, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox held a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which was good for 1st in baseball. They ranked 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Mookie Betts hit .346 with an on-base percentage of .438 last year. He had 180 hits last season in 520 at bats with 80 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .640 and an OPS+ of 186. J.D. Martinez hit .330 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .402. He totaled 188 hits and he drove in 130 men in 569 at bats. His OPS+ was 173 while his slugging percentage was at .629. The Red Sox had 1,509 hits last season, including 355 doubles and 208 home runs. Boston walked 569 times last year and they struck out 1,253 times as a unit. They left 1,124 men on base and had a team OPS of .792. They scored 5.41 runs per contest and scored a total of 876 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle had a 89-73 overall mark last year. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.76 and they gave up 512 base hits on the year. Teams hit .240 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers struck out 556 batters and walked 174 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They were 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Mariners pitchers as a team surrendered 1,396 base knocks and 664 earned runs last season. They gave up 195 home runs last year, which ranked 12th in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff walked 400 hitters and struck out 1,328 batters. They gave up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.24 while their FIP as a staff was 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .254, good for 8th in the league. The Mariners held a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which was good for 18th in baseball. They ranked 9th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup after batting .268 with an OBP of .288 last season. He had 149 hits last year along with 36 RBI in 556 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .349 with an OPS+ of 78. Mitch Haniger hit .285 last season and he had an OBP of .366. He collected 170 hits in 596 at bats while driving in 93 runs. He had an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .493. The Mariners as a unit had 1,402 base hits last season, including 256 doubles and 176 homers. Seattle walked 430 times last year and they struck out on 1,221 occasions. They left 1,084 men on base and had an OPS of .722. They scored 4.18 runs per game and totaled 677 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -143

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