Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Expert MLB Picks 7/22/2019
Monday, July 22, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Hunter Wood
Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays (56-45, 2nd in AL East) host the Boston Red Sox (54-45, 3rd in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Monday, July 22, 2019. The Red Sox open this contest at +100 while the Rays are priced at -110. The total is set at 9.5.
The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 54-45-0 SU. Tampa Bay is covering 55.5% of the time, going 56-45-0 straight up. The Rays have been an excellent play for wagerers as favorites, going 44-32-0 SU. Boston is covering 43.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 7-9-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a terrible Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 57-39-3.
Boston is covering 60.0% of the time on the road, having gone 30-20-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
Tampa Bay is covering 52.0% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 26-24-0 SU.
The Rays have been a good Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 42-51-8.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/20/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/20/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Back Probable for Jul 21
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/17/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/21/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/20/2019 Kevin Kiermaier CF Thumb Probable for Jul 21
7/20/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/19/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/11/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 54-45 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 11-4 record with an earned run average of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 120 strikeouts over his 116 innings pitched and he's given up 114 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 358 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 457 hitters and walked 176 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 876 base hits and 467 earned runs. They have allowed 132 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 337 batters and struck out 1,002. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team Boston is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .324 with an on-base percentage of .378. He has 124 hits this season in 383 at bats with 75 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .569 and an OPS+ of 142. J.D. Martinez is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 102 hits and he has driven in 51 men in 354 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .511. The Red Sox have 967 hits, including 205 doubles and 148 home runs. Boston has walked 384 times so far this season and they have struck out 826 times as a unit. They have left 735 men on base and have a team OPS of .814. They score 5.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 566 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 56-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.08, Hunter Wood has a 1-1 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.42. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 405 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 469 batters and walked 167 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.42. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 767 base knocks and 349 earned runs this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 291 hitters and struck out 979 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.62.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Tommy Pham comes into this matchup batting .272 with an OBP of .372. He has 98 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 360 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .453 with an OPS+ of 119. Austin Meadows is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 88 hits in 301 at bats while driving in 45 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .525. The Rays as a unit have 889 base hits, including 182 doubles and 131 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 325 times this year and they have struck out on 950 occasions. They have had 719 men left on base and have an OPS of .752. They have scored 4.57 runs per game and totaled 462 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays -110
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