Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Expert MLB Picks 7/23/2019
Tuesday, July 23, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Yonny Chirinos
J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (54-46, 3rd in AL East) head to Tropicana Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Rays (57-45, 2nd in AL East). The Rays open this game at +145 while the Red Sox are priced at -155. The O/U has been set at 8.
The Red Sox have been decent for wagerers, having gone 54-46-0 SU. The Rays cover 55.9% of the time, going 57-45-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a very good play for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 47-37-0 SU. Tampa Bay has went 12-13-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 48.0% of the time.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a very good Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 57-40-3.
The Red Sox cover 58.8% of the time on the road, having gone 30-21-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays cover 52.9% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 27-24-0 SU.
The Rays have been an excellent Under play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 42-52-8.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/21/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Back Probable for Jul 22
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/20/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/17/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/21/2019 Kevin Kiermaier CF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/21/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/21/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/21/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/20/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/11/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 54-46 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Sale has a 4-9 record with an earned run average of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.08 this season. He has 172 strikeouts over his 117.2 innings pitched and he's given up 98 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.53 and they have given up 359 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 460 hitters and walked 177 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 883 base hits and 472 earned runs. They have allowed 135 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 340 batters and struck out 1,012. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team Boston is hitting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .285 with an on-base percentage of .360. He has 102 hits this season in 358 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .506 and an OPS+ of 122. Rafael Devers is hitting .323 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 125 hits and he has driven in 75 men in 387 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .568. The Red Sox have 968 hits, including 206 doubles and 148 home runs. Boston has walked 387 times so far this season and they have struck out 838 times as a unit. They have left 739 men on base and have a team OPS of .809. They score 5.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 566 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 57-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.29, Yonny Chirinos has a 8-5 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 97 strikeouts over the 112 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 90 hits. He's allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 407 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 473 batters and walked 168 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 772 base knocks and 351 earned runs this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 294 hitters and struck out 993 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.59.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Austin Meadows comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .366. He has 89 hits this year along with 45 RBI in 304 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .526 with an OPS+ of 134. Tommy Pham is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 98 hits in 364 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .448. The Rays as a unit have 892 base hits, including 183 doubles and 132 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 330 times this year and they have struck out on 957 occasions. They have had 721 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They have scored 4.57 runs per game and totaled 466 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays +145
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