Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Expert MLB Picks 7/24/2019
Wednesday, July 24, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Charlie Morton
Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays (57-46, 2nd in AL East) host the Boston Red Sox (55-46, 3rd in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Wednesday, July 24, 2019. The Red Sox open this game at +102 while the Rays are coming in at -112. The O/U opens at 8.
The Red Sox have been a good bet for baseball bettors, having gone 55-46-0 SU. The Rays are covering 55.3% of the time, going 57-46-0 straight up. The Rays have been very good for wagerers as favorites, going 45-32-0 SU. Boston is covering 43.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 7-9-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a very good Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 58-40-3.
Boston is covering 59.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 31-21-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays are covering 51.9% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 27-25-0 SU.
The Rays have been a good Under play for O/U bettors, having gone 43-52-8.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/22/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Back Probable for Jul 23
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/20/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/17/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/22/2019 Kevin Kiermaier CF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/22/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/22/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Probable for Jul 23
7/21/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/21/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/20/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/11/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 55-46 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Price has a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 106 strikeouts over his 92.1 innings pitched and he's given up 86 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 463 hitters and walked 178 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 892 base hits and 476 earned runs. They have allowed 135 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 345 batters and struck out 1,021. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.
As a team Boston is hitting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .321 with an on-base percentage of .375. He has 126 hits this season in 392 at bats with 77 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .566 and an OPS+ of 140. J.D. Martinez is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 104 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 363 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .515. The Red Sox have 980 hits, including 211 doubles and 151 home runs. Boston has walked 390 times so far this season and they have struck out 841 times as a unit. They have left 745 men on base and have a team OPS of .811. They score 5.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 575 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 57-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.61, Charlie Morton has a 11-3 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 152 strikeouts over the 124.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 91 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 412 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 474 batters and walked 169 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.46. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 784 base knocks and 360 earned runs this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 297 hitters and struck out 996 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 3.63.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Tommy Pham comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .367. He has 99 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 369 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .447 with an OPS+ of 116. Austin Meadows is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 90 hits in 307 at bats while driving in 46 runs. He has an OPS+ of 135 and a slugging percentage of .528. The Rays as a unit have 901 base hits, including 186 doubles and 132 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 335 times this year and they have struck out on 966 occasions. They have had 730 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They have scored 4.56 runs per game and totaled 470 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays -112
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