Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Picks & Predictions 4/20/2019

Saturday, April 20, 2019

Tropicana Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Charlie Morton

The Boston Red Sox visit Tropicana Field on Saturday, April 20, 2019 to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Charlie Morton for the Rays.

The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +119 and Tampa Bay at -129. The Red Sox have a 10-8-1 over/under record and a 3-16-0 run line mark. The Rays are 14-4-0 against the run line and have a 6-11-1 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 10-8-1 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 3-16-0 against the run line

Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 6-11-1 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Rays are 14-4-0 against the run line

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

04/18/19 LF Andrew Benintendi Foot is questionable Friday vs Tampa Bay Rays
04/18/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee left last game, is questionable Friday vs Tampa Bay Rays
04/06/19 P Brian Johnson Elbow 10-day IL (04/06)
04/06/19 2B Brock Holt Eye 10-day IL (04/06)
03/28/19 3B Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

04/16/19 P Blake Snell Toe 10-day IL (04/16)
04/01/19 2B Joey Wendle Hamstring 10-day IL (03/31)
03/30/19 P Anthony Banda Elbow 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Jose De Leon Elbow 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 3B Matt Duffy Hamstring 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 6-13 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 11.12 and a WHIP of 3.00 this season. He has 10 strikeouts over his 11.1 innings pitched and he's given up 22 hits. He's allowed 17.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.15 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 85 hitters and walked 29 batters. As a team, Boston allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 6.01. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 170 base hits and 108 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 70 batters and struck out 164. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.26.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .229, good for 20th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Mitch Moreland is hitting .241 with an on-base percentage of .313. He has 14 hits this season in 58 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .586 and an OPS+ of 137. J.D. Martinez is hitting .352 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .425. He has totaled 25 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 71 at bats. His OPS+ is 173 while his slugging percentage is at .592. The Red Sox have 145 hits, including 33 doubles and 19 home runs. Boston has walked 60 times so far this season and they have struck out 145 times as a unit. They have left 124 men on base and have a team OPS of .675. They score 4.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 77 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 14-4 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.18, Charlie Morton has a 2-0 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 20.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 14 hits. He's allowing 6.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 62 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 79 batters and walked 24 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 6.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.33. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 115 base knocks and 42 earned runs this season. They have given up 13 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 42 hitters and struck out 186 batters. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 0.97 while their FIP as a staff is 2.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Rays hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Ji-Man Choi comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .373. He has 17 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 58 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .431 with an OPS+ of 125. Tommy Pham is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 16 hits in 65 at bats while driving in 7 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .338. The Rays as a unit have 168 base hits, including 37 doubles and 24 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 70 times this year and they have struck out on 174 occasions. They have had 146 men left on base and have an OPS of .800. They have scored 5 runs per game and totaled 90 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox +119

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