Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks 9/24/2019

Tuesday, September 24, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Ariel Jurado

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox (81-74, 3rd in AL East) are headed to Globe Life Park on Tuesday where they'll take on the Texas Rangers (75-81, 3rd in AL West). The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox priced at -185 and the Rangers are at +174. The over/under opens at 11.

The Red Sox have been decent for MLB bettors, having gone 81-74-0 SU. Texas is covering 48.1% of the time, going 75-81-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a bad Under choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 85-65-5.

The Red Sox are covering 57.1% of the time away from home, having gone 44-33-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers are covering 56.0% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 42-33-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a decent Over choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 70-82-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/22/2019 Andrew Benintendi LF Thumb Probable for Sep 23
9/19/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/18/2019 David Price SP Wrist Out for the season
9/18/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/22/2019 Jeff Mathis C Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/21/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Out for the season
9/20/2019 Logan Forsythe 1B Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Out for the season
9/20/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/18/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 81-74 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 18-6 record with an earned run average of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 199 strikeouts over his 191.1 innings pitched and he's given up 179 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 571 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 744 hitters and walked 305 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,360 base hits and 724 earned runs. They have allowed 203 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 574 batters and struck out 1,567. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 190 hits this season in 619 at bats with 112 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .551 and an OPS+ of 130. J.D. Martinez is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .381. He has totaled 166 hits and he has driven in 99 men in 550 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .560. The Red Sox have 1,481 hits, including 333 doubles and 237 home runs. Boston has walked 566 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,319 times as a unit. They have left 1,120 men on base and have a team OPS of .806. They score 5.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 860 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 75-81 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.73, Ariel Jurado has a 7-10 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 80 strikeouts over the 119.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 142 hits. He's allowing 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 596 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 592 batters and walked 266 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.99. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,450 base knocks and 768 earned runs this season. They have given up 228 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 565 hitters and struck out 1,322 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.83.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Rangers hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Shin-Soo Choo comes into this matchup batting .266 with an OBP of .368. He has 145 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 546 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .452 with an OPS+ of 107. Elvis Andrus is hitting .270 this season and he has an OBP of .308. He has collected 156 hits in 577 at bats while driving in 70 runs. He has an OPS+ of 76 and a slugging percentage of .392. The Rangers as a unit have 1,315 base hits, including 283 doubles and 215 homers. Texas has walked 504 times this year and they have struck out on 1,526 occasions. They have had 1,020 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They have scored 4.92 runs per game and totaled 768 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers (+174)

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