Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks 9/25/2019

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Kolby Allard

Elvis Andrus and the Texas Rangers (75-81, 3rd in AL West) play the Boston Red Sox (81-75, 3rd in AL East) at Globe Life Park on Wednesday, September 25, 2019. The Red Sox open this matchup at -160 while the Rangers are coming in at +150. The over/under is set at 12.

The Red Sox have been good for baseball bettors, having gone 81-75-0 SU. Texas is covering 48.1% of the time, going 75-81-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a bad Under play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 86-65-5.

Boston is covering 56.4% of the time as the visitor, having gone 44-34-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

Texas is covering 56.0% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 42-33-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a dicey Under play for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 70-82-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/23/2019 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Rest Out for the season
9/23/2019 Andrew Benintendi LF Thumb Probable for Sep 24
9/19/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/18/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 David Price SP Wrist Out for the season
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/22/2019 Jeff Mathis C Back Probable for Sep 24
9/21/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Out for the season
9/20/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2019 Logan Forsythe 1B Ribs Probable for Sep 24
9/20/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Out for the season
9/18/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 81-75 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 13-12 record with an earned run average of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 135 strikeouts over his 168.1 innings pitched and he's given up 192 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 575 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 749 hitters and walked 306 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,368 base hits and 731 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 576 batters and struck out 1,577. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .301 with an on-base percentage of .381. He has 167 hits this season in 554 at bats with 100 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .558 and an OPS+ of 138. Rafael Devers is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 192 hits and he has driven in 113 men in 624 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .550. The Red Sox have 1,491 hits, including 336 doubles and 237 home runs. Boston has walked 571 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,330 times as a unit. They have left 1,131 men on base and have a team OPS of .805. They score 5.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 864 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 75-81 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.25, Kolby Allard has a 4-1 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 32 strikeouts over the 42.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 46 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 596 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 592 batters and walked 266 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.99. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,450 base knocks and 768 earned runs this season. They have given up 228 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 565 hitters and struck out 1,322 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Rangers hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Elvis Andrus comes into this matchup batting .270 with an OBP of .308. He has 156 hits this year along with 70 RBI in 577 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .392 with an OPS+ of 76. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .266 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 145 hits in 546 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .452. The Rangers as a unit have 1,315 base hits, including 283 doubles and 215 homers. Texas has walked 504 times this year and they have struck out on 1,526 occasions. They have had 1,020 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They have scored 4.92 runs per game and totaled 768 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers (+150)

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