Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers MLB Picks & Predictions 9/26/2019

Thursday, September 26, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Travis Lakins vs. Mike Minor

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox (82-75, 3rd in AL East) travel to Globe Life Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Texas Rangers (75-82, 3rd in AL West). The odds on this matchup have the Red Sox priced at -142 and the Rangers are at +132. The total opens at 9.

The Red Sox have been a pretty good pick for bettors, having gone 82-75-0 SU. Texas covers 47.8% of the time, going 75-82-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a rough Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 87-65-5.

The Red Sox are covering 57.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 45-34-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers are covering 55.3% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 42-34-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a good Over pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 71-82-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/24/2019 Mookie Betts RF Foot Probable for Sep 25
9/23/2019 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Rest Out for the season
9/19/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/18/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 David Price SP Wrist Out for the season
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/25/2019 Logan Forsythe 1B Ribs Probable for Sep 25
9/25/2019 Jeff Mathis C Back Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/24/2019 Nomar Mazara RF Thumb Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Shawn Kelley RP Groin Probable for Sep 25
9/21/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Out for the season
9/20/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Out for the season
9/18/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 82-75 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Travis Lakins has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 17 strikeouts over his 21.1 innings pitched and he's given up 22 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 579 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 753 hitters and walked 310 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,383 base hits and 741 earned runs. They have allowed 207 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 583 batters and struck out 1,587. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .309 with an on-base percentage of .361. He has 194 hits this season in 628 at bats with 114 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .551 and an OPS+ of 131. J.D. Martinez is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .381. He has totaled 169 hits and he has driven in 103 men in 559 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .556. The Red Sox have 1,505 hits, including 339 doubles and 238 home runs. Boston has walked 575 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,336 times as a unit. They have left 1,137 men on base and have a team OPS of .806. They score 5.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 876 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 75-82 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.52, Mike Minor has a 13-10 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 191 strikeouts over the 199.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 179 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 605 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 598 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.01. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,464 base knocks and 775 earned runs this season. They have given up 229 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 569 hitters and struck out 1,328 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.83.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Rangers hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Shin-Soo Choo comes into this matchup batting .266 with an OBP of .368. He has 145 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 546 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .452 with an OPS+ of 107. Elvis Andrus is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 159 hits in 580 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 78 and a slugging percentage of .397. The Rangers as a unit have 1,330 base hits, including 285 doubles and 216 homers. Texas has walked 511 times this year and they have struck out on 1,536 occasions. They have had 1,031 men left on base and have an OPS of .748. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 778 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-142)

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