» MLB Picks » Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Expert MLB Picks 7/3/2019

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Expert MLB Picks 7/3/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 7/2/2019

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Sean Reid-Foley

Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (32-53, 4th in AL East) host the Boston Red Sox (44-40, 3rd in AL East) at Rogers Centre on Wednesday, July 3, 2019. The line on this contest has the Red Sox priced at -270 and the Blue Jays are at +245. The O/U opens at 9.

The Red Sox have been good for baseball bettors, having gone 44-40-0 SU. The Blue Jays are covering 37.6% of the time, going 32-53-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a strong bet for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 38-31-0 SU. The Blue Jays are covering 33.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 21-41-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been an excellent Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 47-34-3.

The Red Sox are covering 57.1% of the time on the road, having gone 24-18-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

Toronto covers 38.1% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 16-26-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a less than ideal Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 43-39-3.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/1/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/30/2019 Brock Holt 2B Leg Probable for Jul 2
6/30/2019 Andrew Benintendi LF Quadriceps Probable for Jul 2
6/29/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/24/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

6/29/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Marcus Stroman SP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/28/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/26/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 44-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Sale has a 3-7 record with an earned run average of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 148 strikeouts over his 101.1 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 393 hitters and walked 149 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 727 base hits and 384 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 283 batters and struck out 858. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .269, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .322 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 103 hits this season in 320 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .525 and an OPS+ of 130. J.D. Martinez is hitting .298 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 88 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 295 at bats. His OPS+ is 137 while his slugging percentage is at .549. The Red Sox have 803 hits, including 170 doubles and 121 home runs. Boston has walked 327 times so far this season and they have struck out 707 times as a unit. They have left 623 men on base and have a team OPS of .801. They score 5.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 463 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 32-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.82, Sean Reid-Foley has a 0-1 record and a 1.82 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 9.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 327 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 369 batters and walked 147 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 773 base knocks and 409 earned runs this season. They have given up 123 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 323 hitters and struck out 701 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .232, good for 28th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .295. He has 75 hits this year along with 38 RBI in 318 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .425 with an OPS+ of 92. Freddy Galvis is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .302. He has collected 81 hits in 307 at bats while driving in 40 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Blue Jays as a unit have 664 base hits, including 127 doubles and 119 homers. Toronto has walked 262 times this year and they have struck out on 777 occasions. They have had 514 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They have scored 4.31 runs per game and totaled 366 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +245

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less