Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 5/21/2019

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Marcus Stroman

Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (19-27, 4th in AL East) host the Boston Red Sox (24-22, 3rd in AL East) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday, May 21, 2019. The Blue Jays open this matchup at +125 while the Red Sox are priced at -135. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Red Sox have been decent for bettors, having gone 24-22-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 41.3% of the time, going 19-27-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been decent for bettors as favorites, going 21-19-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 41.4% of the time as the underdog, having gone 12-17-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a bad Under choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 26-19-1.

Boston covers 47.8% of the time as the road team, having gone 11-12-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 38.1% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 8-13-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been an awful Over choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 18-28-0.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

05/19/19 C Sandy Leon Paternity List is questionable Monday vs Toronto Blue Jays
05/06/19 P David Price Elbow 10-day IL (05/03)
05/03/19 SS Tzu-Wei Lin Knee 10-day IL (05/04)
04/20/19 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 10-day IL (04/18)
04/19/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day IL (04/18)
04/06/19 P Brian Johnson Elbow 10-day IL (04/06)
04/06/19 2B Brock Holt Eye 10-day IL (04/06)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

05/16/19 P Clay Buchholz Elbow 10-day IL (05/10)
04/21/19 P Matt Shoemaker Knee 60-day IL (04/21); is out for season
04/16/19 P Ryan Borucki Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
04/03/19 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 60-day IL (04/02)
03/31/19 P Clayton Richard Knee 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P David Phelps Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Devon Travis Knee 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 24-22 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 56 strikeouts over his 49.2 innings pitched and he's given up 55 hits. He's allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen and they've struck out 201 hitters and walked 69 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 365 base hits and 199 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 154 batters and struck out 459. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .254, good for 10th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .408. He has 51 hits this season in 171 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .491 and an OPS+ of 138. J.D. Martinez is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .390. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 169 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .521. The Red Sox have 398 hits, including 82 doubles and 60 home runs. Boston has walked 193 times so far this season and they have struck out 363 times as a unit. They have left 330 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 5.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 238 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 19-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.95, Marcus Stroman has a 1-6 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 51 strikeouts over the 58 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 56 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .200 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 188 batters and walked 72 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 353 base knocks and 173 earned runs this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 166 hitters and struck out 390 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .220, good for 27th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.2 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .243 with an OBP of .303. He has 42 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 173 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .428 with an OPS+ of 98. Freddy Galvis is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .300. He has collected 45 hits in 164 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .451. The Blue Jays as a unit have 333 base hits, including 71 doubles and 47 homers. Toronto has walked 136 times this year and they have struck out on 421 occasions. They have had 272 men left on base and have an OPS of .655. They have scored 3.67 runs per game and totaled 169 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -135

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