Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 5/22/2019

Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Aaron Sanchez

Rogers Centre is the site where Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (19-28, 4th in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (25-22, 3rd in AL East) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox priced at -155 and the Blue Jays are at +145. The over/under opens at 9.5.

The Red Sox have been solid for baseball wagerers, having gone 25-22-0 SU. Toronto is covering 40.4% of the time, going 19-28-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a decent option for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 22-19-0 SU. Toronto is covering 40.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 12-18-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a bad Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 27-19-1.

The Red Sox cover 50.0% of the time away from home, having gone 12-12-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 36.4% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 8-14-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a terrible Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 19-28-0.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

05/03/19 SS Tzu-Wei Lin Knee 10-day IL (05/04)
04/20/19 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 10-day IL (04/18)
04/19/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day IL (04/18)
04/06/19 P Brian Johnson Elbow 10-day IL (04/06)
04/06/19 2B Brock Holt Eye 10-day IL (04/06)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

05/20/19 2B Eric Sogard Thumb is questionable Tuesday vs Boston Red Sox
05/16/19 P Clay Buchholz Elbow 10-day IL (05/10)
04/21/19 P Matt Shoemaker Knee 60-day IL (04/21); is out for season
04/16/19 P Ryan Borucki Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
04/03/19 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 60-day IL (04/02)
03/31/19 P Clayton Richard Knee 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P David Phelps Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Devon Travis Knee 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 25-22 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 43 strikeouts over his 50.2 innings pitched and he's given up 52 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen and they've struck out 207 hitters and walked 70 batters. As a team, Boston allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 368 base hits and 199 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 155 batters and struck out 469. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .257, good for 5th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .308 with an on-base percentage of .390. He has 52 hits this season in 169 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .521 and an OPS+ of 139. Mookie Betts is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .403. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 176 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .483. The Red Sox have 414 hits, including 85 doubles and 64 home runs. Boston has walked 197 times so far this season and they have struck out 369 times as a unit. They have left 337 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 5.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 250 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 19-28 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.88, Aaron Sanchez has a 3-4 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 51 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 48 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 190 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 369 base knocks and 184 earned runs this season. They have given up 54 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 170 hitters and struck out 396 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .217, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .284, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.1 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .263 with an OBP of .293. He has 44 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 167 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .431 with an OPS+ of 95. Randal Grichuk is hitting .237 this season and he has an OBP of .297. He has collected 42 hits in 177 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .418. The Blue Jays as a unit have 335 base hits, including 70 doubles and 48 homers. Toronto has walked 137 times this year and they have struck out on 431 occasions. They have had 275 men left on base and have an OPS of .647. They have scored 3.64 runs per game and totaled 171 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -155

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