Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 9/12/2019

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Clay Buchholz

Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (56-89, 4th in AL East) play the Boston Red Sox (76-69, 3rd in AL East) at Rogers Centre on Thursday, September 12, 2019. The Red Sox open this contest at -135 while the Blue Jays are priced at +125. The O/U has been set at 10.5.

The Red Sox have been hot and cold for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 76-69-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 38.6% of the time, going 56-89-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been an awful Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 79-62-4.

Boston is covering 57.1% of the time as the visitor, having gone 40-30-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 40.0% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 28-42-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a solid Over pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 65-74-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/10/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/10/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/5/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/1/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/10/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/10/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 76-69 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 3-10 record with an earned run average of 5.60 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 84 strikeouts over his 91.2 innings pitched and he's given up 99 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 516 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 677 hitters and walked 276 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,269 base hits and 678 earned runs. They have allowed 193 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 531 batters and struck out 1,441. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .290 with an on-base percentage of .390. He has 165 hits this season in 568 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .526 and an OPS+ of 134. Rafael Devers is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 182 hits and he has driven in 107 men in 579 at bats. His OPS+ is 135 while his slugging percentage is at .565. The Red Sox have 1,400 hits, including 320 doubles and 226 home runs. Boston has walked 530 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,215 times as a unit. They have left 1,043 men on base and have a team OPS of .818. They score 5.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 816 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 56-89 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.31, Clay Buchholz has a 1-4 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 42.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 45 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 584 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 637 batters and walked 282 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,287 base knocks and 674 earned runs this season. They have given up 199 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 546 hitters and struck out 1,173 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .230 with an OBP of .282. He has 120 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 521 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 89. Justin Smoak is hitting .212 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 81 hits in 382 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .406. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,145 base hits, including 236 doubles and 217 homers. Toronto has walked 451 times this year and they have struck out on 1,336 occasions. They have had 888 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 631 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-135)

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