Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Tips 6/28/2019

Friday, June 28, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Cole Hamels vs. Sonny Gray

Great American Ball Park is the site where Jose Iglesias and the Cincinnati Reds (36-42, 5th in NL Central) will play the Chicago Cubs (43-37, 1st in NL Central) on Friday. The Cubs open this matchup at -120 while the Reds are priced at +110. The total has been set at 9.

The Cubs have been a good option for baseball bettors, having gone 43-37-0 SU. The Reds cover 46.2% of the time, going 36-42-0 straight up. The Cubs have been terrible for oddsmakers as a favorite, going 35-18-0 SU. Cincinnati has went 18-30-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 37.5% of the time.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been an inconsistent Under pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 40-38-2.

The Cubs cover 41.7% of the time on the road, having gone 15-21-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds cover 52.9% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 18-16-0 SU.

The Reds have been a terrible Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 27-49-2.

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

6/25/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/24/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/24/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Kyle Hendricks SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/7/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

6/26/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/25/2019 Wandy Peralta RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/25/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/17/2019 Scooter Gennett 2B Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 28

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 43-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Cole Hamels has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 96 strikeouts over his 98.2 innings pitched and he's given up 83 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 263 hitters and walked 129 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 655 base hits and 309 earned runs. They have allowed 96 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 279 batters and struck out 695. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .252, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Kris Bryant is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .395. He has 81 hits this season in 282 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .539 and an OPS+ of 139. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 278 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .525. The Cubs have 678 hits, including 127 doubles and 124 home runs. Chicago has walked 312 times so far this season and they have struck out 718 times as a unit. They have left 544 men on base and have a team OPS of .783. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 402 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 36-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.03, Sonny Gray has a 3-5 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 76 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 66 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 295 batters and walked 109 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 598 base knocks and 280 earned runs this season. They have given up 85 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 262 hitters and struck out 746 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Jose Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .335. He has 73 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 246 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .419 with an OPS+ of 93. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .244 this season and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 70 hits in 287 at bats while driving in 45 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .460. The Reds as a unit have 609 base hits, including 108 doubles and 108 homers. Cincinnati has walked 240 times this year and they have struck out on 691 occasions. They have had 489 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They have scored 4.31 runs per game and totaled 336 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds +110

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