Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 8/11/2019
Sunday, August 11, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. Luis Castillo
Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (54-59, 4th in NL Central) play the Chicago Cubs (63-52, 1st in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday, August 11, 2019.
The Cubs have been hot and cold for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 63-52-0 SU. The Reds are covering 47.8% of the time, going 54-59-0 straight up.
Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Cubs have been a solid Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 54-57-4.
The Cubs are covering 40.0% of the time away from home, having gone 22-33-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati covers 53.6% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 30-26-0 SU.
The Reds have been a bad Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 44-66-3.
Key Chicago Cubs Injuries
8/8/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/6/2019 Brandon Kintzler RP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/5/2019 Willson Contreras C Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/5/2019 Craig Kimbrel RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/3/2019 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
8/2/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/20/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
8/8/2019 Jared Hughes RP Suspension Suspended until Aug 11
8/7/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/5/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/30/2019 Tyler Mahle SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/28/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Cubs have a 63-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 9-8 record with an earned run average of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 122 strikeouts over his 123 innings pitched and he's given up 144 hits. He's allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 340 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 373 hitters and walked 174 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 963 base hits and 455 earned runs. They have allowed 140 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 365 batters and struck out 995. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team Chicago is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Cubs hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Kris Bryant is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .390. He has 120 hits this season in 412 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .529 and an OPS+ of 135. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .391. He has totaled 116 hits and he has driven in 72 men in 405 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Cubs have 996 hits, including 192 doubles and 182 home runs. Chicago has walked 419 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,035 times as a unit. They have left 772 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 5.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 582 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 54-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.63, Luis Castillo has a 11-4 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 164 strikeouts over the 137 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 91 hits. He's allowing 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 343 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 418 batters and walked 173 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 907 base knocks and 455 earned runs this season. They have given up 148 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 383 hitters and struck out 1,082 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Reds hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .340. He has 106 hits this year along with 72 RBI in 413 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .523 with an OPS+ of 117. Joey Votto is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 103 hits in 402 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .398. The Reds as a unit have 940 base hits, including 164 doubles and 154 homers. Cincinnati has walked 330 times this year and they have struck out on 978 occasions. They have had 724 men left on base and have an OPS of .741. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 513 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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