Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds MLB Point Spread Picks 5/16/2019

Thursday, May 16, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Quintana vs. Luis Castillo

Javier Baez and the Chicago Cubs (25-14, 1st in NL Central) go to Great American Ball Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (18-24, 5th in NL Central). The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs priced at +140 and the Reds are at -150. The over/under has been set at 8.5.

The Cubs have been a solid pick for baseball wagerers, having gone 21-18-0 vs. the moneyline. The Reds are covering the ML 54.8% of the time, going 23-19-0. The Reds have been solid for Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 8-9-0. Chicago has went 5-5-0 as the underdog, so they are covering the ML 50.0% of the time.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a dicey Under pick for O/U bettors, having gone 20-19-0.

The Cubs are covering the ML 44.4% of the time away from home, having gone 8-10-0.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds are covering the ML 43.8% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 7-9-0.

The Reds have been a great Under pick for O/U bettors, having gone 14-27-1.

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

05/14/19 1B Anthony Rizzo Back is questionable Wednesday vs Cincinnati Reds
05/11/19 P Allen Webster Arm 10-day IL (05/11)
05/08/19 2B Ben Zobrist Personal is out indefinitely
05/08/19 P Pedro Strop Hamstring 10-day IL (05/07)
05/02/19 P Brandon Morrow Elbow 60-day IL (05/02)
04/12/19 C Victor Caratini Hand 10-day IL (04/12)
03/25/19 P Kendall Graveman Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Tony Barnette Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 25-14 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Quintana has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 46 strikeouts over his 46.1 innings pitched and he's given up 44 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 106 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen and they've struck out 145 hitters and walked 79 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 297 base hits and 134 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 159 batters and struck out 359. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .255, good for 7th in the league. The Cubs hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Javier Baez is hitting .325 with an on-base percentage of .362. He has 54 hits this season in 166 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .620 and an OPS+ of 152. Willson Contreras is hitting .305 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .413. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 118 at bats. His OPS+ is 165 while his slugging percentage is at .610. The Cubs have 341 hits, including 73 doubles and 58 home runs. Chicago has walked 174 times so far this season and they have struck out 350 times as a unit. They have left 290 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 209 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 18-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.76, Luis Castillo has a 4-1 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 56.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 32 hits. He's allowing 5.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 127 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 155 batters and walked 55 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.35. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 319 base knocks and 139 earned runs this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 138 hitters and struck out 404 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.34.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .214, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.1 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .333. He has 38 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 151 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .550 with an OPS+ of 127. Jose Iglesias is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 37 hits in 128 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .406. The Reds as a unit have 297 base hits, including 52 doubles and 60 homers. Cincinnati has walked 132 times this year and they have struck out on 369 occasions. They have had 245 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They have scored 4.1 runs per game and totaled 172 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs +140

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