Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips 7/27/2019

Saturday, July 27, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. Chase Anderson

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (54-50, 3rd in NL Central) play the Chicago Cubs (55-47, 1st in NL Central) at Miller Park on Saturday, July 27, 2019. The Brewers open this game at -122 while the Cubs are priced at +112. The over/under has been set at 10.

The Cubs have been a decent play for MLB bettors, having gone 55-47-0 SU. The Brewers are covering 51.9% of the time, going 54-50-0 straight up. The Brewers have been less than ideal for oddsmakers as the favorite, going 34-29-0 SU. The Cubs are covering 32.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 9-19-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a less than ideal Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 49-51-2.

Chicago is covering 39.6% of the time on the road, having gone 19-29-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee is covering 57.4% of the time at Miller Park, going 31-23-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a less than ideal Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 48-52-4.

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

7/24/2019 Cole Hamels SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/24/2019 Kris Bryant 3B Knee Probable for Jul 26
7/23/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/20/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
7/20/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/24/2019 Jhoulys Chacin SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/22/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
7/17/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/15/2019 Corbin Burnes RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 55-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 105 strikeouts over his 107 innings pitched and he's given up 121 hits. He's allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 303 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 322 hitters and walked 159 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 857 base hits and 410 earned runs. They have allowed 126 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 336 batters and struck out 870. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .254, good for 12th in the league. The Cubs hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .290 with an on-base percentage of .397. He has 104 hits this season in 359 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .529 and an OPS+ of 137. Javier Baez is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 119 hits and he has driven in 68 men in 410 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .554. The Cubs have 876 hits, including 173 doubles and 160 home runs. Chicago has walked 381 times so far this season and they have struck out 934 times as a unit. They have left 684 men on base and have a team OPS of .787. They score 5.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 514 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 54-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.90, Chase Anderson has a 5-2 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 83 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 75 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 472 batters and walked 182 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 928 base knocks and 487 earned runs this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 363 hitters and struck out 965 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .335 with an OBP of .436. He has 118 hits this year along with 77 RBI in 352 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .707 with an OPS+ of 189. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 100 hits in 394 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 77 and a slugging percentage of .368. The Brewers as a unit have 890 base hits, including 178 doubles and 173 homers. Milwaukee has walked 395 times this year and they have struck out on 987 occasions. They have had 732 men left on base and have an OPS of .779. They have scored 4.9 runs per game and totaled 510 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -122

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