Chicago Cubs at New York Mets Baseball Betting Tips 8/27/2019

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yu Darvish vs. Marcus Stroman

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (67-63, 4th in NL East) host the Chicago Cubs (69-61, 2nd in NL Central) at Citi Field on Tuesday, August 27, 2019. The Mets open this game at -103 while the Cubs are coming in at -107. The O/U opens at 8.5.

The Cubs have been decent for baseball wagerers, having gone 69-61-0 SU. New York is covering 51.5% of the time, going 67-63-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a pretty good Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 60-64-6.

Chicago is covering 38.1% of the time as the away team, having gone 24-39-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 60.7% of the time at Citi Field, going 37-24-0 SU.

The Mets have been a less than ideal Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 63-54-13.

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

8/25/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/25/2019 Anthony Rizzo 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/25/2019 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/25/2019 Derek Holland RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/23/2019 Willson Contreras C Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/22/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/25/2019 Edwin Diaz RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/25/2019 Steven Matz SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/24/2019 Tomas Nido C Head Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/20/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/13/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/5/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 69-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yu Darvish has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 176 strikeouts over his 144.1 innings pitched and he's given up 117 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 389 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 424 hitters and walked 200 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 1,101 base hits and 532 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 410 batters and struck out 1,129. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Cubs hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Kyle Schwarber is hitting .225 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 95 hits this season in 422 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .486 and an OPS+ of 103. Kris Bryant is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 131 hits and he has driven in 64 men in 466 at bats. His OPS+ is 129 while his slugging percentage is at .521. The Cubs have 1,096 hits, including 210 doubles and 203 home runs. Chicago has walked 474 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,171 times as a unit. They have left 866 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 638 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 67-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.18, Marcus Stroman has a 7-11 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 117 strikeouts over the 144.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 143 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have given up 423 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 448 batters and walked 194 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,124 base knocks and 561 earned runs this season. They have given up 164 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 419 hitters and struck out 1,206 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .368. He has 125 hits this year along with 100 RBI in 471 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .592 with an OPS+ of 152. Amed Rosario is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 143 hits in 495 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .442. The Mets as a unit have 1,164 base hits, including 224 doubles and 184 homers. New York has walked 406 times this year and they have struck out on 1,129 occasions. They have had 913 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 624 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets (-103)

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