Chicago Cubs at New York Mets MLB Game Picks 8/29/2019

Thursday, August 29, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. Jacob deGrom

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (67-64, 4th in NL East) play the Chicago Cubs (70-61, 2nd in NL Central) at Citi Field on Thursday, August 29, 2019. The Mets open this game at -175 while the Cubs are priced at +165. The over/under has been set at 7.5.

The Cubs have been pretty good for wagerers, having gone 70-61-0 SU. The Mets are covering 51.1% of the time, going 67-64-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a pretty good Under play for O/U bettors, having gone 60-65-6.

The Cubs are covering 39.1% of the time as the away team, having gone 25-39-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets are covering 59.7% of the time at Citi Field, going 37-25-0 SU.

The Mets have been a decent Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 63-55-13.

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Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

8/27/2019 Anthony Rizzo 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/27/2019 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/26/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/25/2019 Derek Holland RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/23/2019 Willson Contreras C Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/22/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/27/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/27/2019 Edwin Diaz RP Neck Probable for Aug 28
8/25/2019 Steven Matz SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/24/2019 Tomas Nido C Head Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/20/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/5/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 70-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 10-9 record with an earned run average of 4.49 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 134 strikeouts over his 138.1 innings pitched and he's given up 162 hits. He's allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.25. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 390 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 424 hitters and walked 200 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 1,107 base hits and 534 earned runs. They have allowed 167 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 411 batters and struck out 1,136. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .251, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Kyle Schwarber is hitting .225 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 95 hits this season in 422 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .486 and an OPS+ of 103. Kris Bryant is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 131 hits and he has driven in 64 men in 466 at bats. His OPS+ is 129 while his slugging percentage is at .521. The Cubs have 1,107 hits, including 215 doubles and 205 home runs. Chicago has walked 476 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,181 times as a unit. They have left 871 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 643 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 67-64 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.56, Jacob deGrom has a 8-7 record and a 1.04 WHIP. He has 207 strikeouts over the 162 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 129 hits. He's allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 428 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 451 batters and walked 194 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,135 base knocks and 566 earned runs this season. They have given up 166 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 421 hitters and struck out 1,216 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .368. He has 125 hits this year along with 100 RBI in 471 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .592 with an OPS+ of 152. Amed Rosario is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 143 hits in 495 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .442. The Mets as a unit have 1,170 base hits, including 224 doubles and 186 homers. New York has walked 407 times this year and they have struck out on 1,136 occasions. They have had 918 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 626 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (-175)

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