Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/9/2019

Monday, September 9, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks vs. Cal Quantrill

Anthony Rizzo and the Chicago Cubs (76-65, 2nd in NL Central) go to Petco Park on Monday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (65-76, 4th in NL West). The Padres open this game at +125 while the Cubs are priced at -135. The O/U has been set at 8.5.

The Cubs have been a pretty good choice for MLB wagerers, having gone 76-65-0 SU. The Padres are covering 46.1% of the time, going 65-76-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 62-72-7.

Chicago is covering 40.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 28-41-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

San Diego is covering 45.7% of the time at Petco Park, going 32-38-0 SU.

The Padres have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 64-66-11.

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Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/7/2019 Javier Baez SS Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/5/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/5/2019 Craig Kimbrel RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/1/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/22/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Out for the season
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/6/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/6/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/4/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 76-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks has a 9-9 record with an earned run average of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.10 this season. He has 132 strikeouts over his 154 innings pitched and he's given up 140 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 417 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 464 hitters and walked 217 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 1,185 base hits and 563 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 451 batters and struck out 1,231. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .250, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .404. He has 134 hits this season in 464 at bats with 87 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .517 and an OPS+ of 136. Kyle Schwarber is hitting .235 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 107 hits and he has driven in 81 men in 456 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .515. The Cubs have 1,184 hits, including 233 doubles and 221 home runs. Chicago has walked 511 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,271 times as a unit. They have left 934 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 688 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 65-76 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.57, Cal Quantrill has a 6-6 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 90.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 88 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 529 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 576 batters and walked 176 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,232 base knocks and 628 earned runs this season. They have given up 186 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 391 hitters and struck out 1,256 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 25th in the league. The Padres hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .327. He has 154 hits this year along with 92 RBI in 547 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .448 with an OPS+ of 103. Manny Machado is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 138 hits in 527 at bats while driving in 78 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .472. The Padres as a unit have 1,138 base hits, including 197 doubles and 202 homers. San Diego has walked 423 times this year and they have struck out on 1,355 occasions. They have had 858 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 613 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs (-135)

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