Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres MLB Betting Tips 9/11/2019

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Cole Hamels vs. Chris Paddack

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (66-77, 4th in NL West) host the Chicago Cubs (77-66, 2nd in NL Central) at Petco Park on Wednesday, September 11, 2019. The Padres open this contest at +105 while the Cubs are coming in at -115. The O/U has been set at 8.5.

The Cubs have been hot and cold for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 77-66-0 SU. The Padres cover 46.2% of the time, going 66-77-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a solid Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 64-72-7.

The Cubs cover 40.8% of the time on the road, having gone 29-42-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres cover 45.8% of the time at Petco Park, going 33-39-0 SU.

The Padres have been a solid Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 65-67-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/9/2019 Javier Baez SS Thumb Out for the season
9/9/2019 Addison Russell 2B Head Probable for Sep 10
9/9/2019 Kris Bryant 3B Knee Probable for Sep 10
9/5/2019 Craig Kimbrel RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/5/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/1/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/22/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Out for the season
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/10/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/9/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/6/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/4/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 77-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Cole Hamels has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 125 strikeouts over his 130 innings pitched and he's given up 132 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.09. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 474 hitters and walked 219 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 1,203 base hits and 572 earned runs. They have allowed 179 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 457 batters and struck out 1,253. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Cubs hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .399. He has 134 hits this season in 472 at bats with 87 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .508 and an OPS+ of 133. Kyle Schwarber is hitting .234 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 109 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 465 at bats. His OPS+ is 112 while his slugging percentage is at .516. The Cubs have 1,206 hits, including 236 doubles and 224 home runs. Chicago has walked 516 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,292 times as a unit. They have left 948 men on base and have a team OPS of .780. They score 4.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 703 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 66-77 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.54, Chris Paddack has a 8-7 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 137 strikeouts over the 129.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 103 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 534 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 588 batters and walked 177 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,251 base knocks and 639 earned runs this season. They have given up 188 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 396 hitters and struck out 1,277 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 25th in the league. The Padres hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .326. He has 155 hits this year along with 92 RBI in 554 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .444 with an OPS+ of 102. Manny Machado is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .334. He has collected 140 hits in 533 at bats while driving in 78 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .471. The Padres as a unit have 1,154 base hits, including 199 doubles and 202 homers. San Diego has walked 431 times this year and they have struck out on 1,371 occasions. They have had 878 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They have scored 4.31 runs per game and totaled 617 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs (-115)

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