Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks 9/16/2019

Monday, September 16, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Reynaldo Lopez vs. Jose Berrios

Jose Abreu and the Chicago White Sox (65-83, 3rd in AL Central) go to Target Field on Monday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (91-57, 1st in AL Central). The moneyline on this game has the White Sox coming in at +220 and the Twins are at -240. The O/U is set at 10.

The White Sox have been less than ideal for wagerers, having gone 65-83-0 SU. Minnesota covers 61.5% of the time, going 91-57-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The White Sox have been a pretty good Over pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 70-73-5.

Chicago covers 40.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 30-44-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins are covering 55.4% of the time at Target Field, going 41-33-0 SU.

The Twins have been a pretty good Over pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 74-67-7.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/12/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/14/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Out for the season
9/14/2019 Jake Cave RF Groin Probable for Sep 15
9/12/2019 Ehire Adrianza SS Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/6/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The White Sox have a 65-83 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Reynaldo Lopez has a 9-13 record with an earned run average of 5.35 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 155 strikeouts over his 166.2 innings pitched and he's given up 180 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 487 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 472 hitters and walked 244 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The White Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,321 base hits and 713 earned runs. They have allowed 222 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 537 batters and struck out 1,202. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.94.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .257, good for 10th in the league. The White Sox hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Jose Abreu is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 164 hits this season in 577 at bats with 116 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .516 and an OPS+ of 122. Tim Anderson is hitting .333 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 151 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 453 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .508. The White Sox have 1,295 hits, including 236 doubles and 160 home runs. Chicago has walked 351 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,405 times as a unit. They have left 975 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 635 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 91-57 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.63, Jose Berrios has a 12-8 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 173 strikeouts over the 181 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 175 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 514 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 542 batters and walked 166 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,322 base knocks and 621 earned runs this season. They have given up 184 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 416 hitters and struck out 1,317 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .336. He has 132 hits this year along with 90 RBI in 524 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .519 with an OPS+ of 122. Jorge Polanco is hitting .301 this season and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 177 hits in 588 at bats while driving in 77 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .495. The Twins as a unit have 1,413 base hits, including 290 doubles and 283 homers. Minnesota has walked 478 times this year and they have struck out on 1,237 occasions. They have had 1,022 men left on base and have an OPS of .831. They have scored 5.79 runs per game and totaled 857 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's White Sox/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (-240)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald