Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/15/2019

Sunday, September 15, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Justus Sheffield

Tim Anderson and the Chicago White Sox (65-82, 3rd in AL Central) head to T-Mobile Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Seattle Mariners (60-88, 5th in AL West). The line on this contest has the White Sox priced at -107 and the Mariners are at -103. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The White Sox have been solid for oddsmakers, having gone 65-82-0 SU. Seattle is covering 40.5% of the time, going 60-88-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The White Sox have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 70-72-5.

The White Sox cover 41.1% of the time as the visitor, having gone 30-43-0 straight up.

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners cover 42.5% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 31-42-0 SU.

The Mariners have been an excellent Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 84-58-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/12/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/13/2019 Domingo Santana LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/13/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/11/2019 Jake Fraley CF Thumb Out for the season
9/10/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The White Sox have a 65-82 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 10-12 record with an earned run average of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 103 strikeouts over his 172.2 innings pitched and he's given up 204 hits. He's allowed 10.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 484 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 467 hitters and walked 241 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The White Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,315 base hits and 711 earned runs. They have allowed 220 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 531 batters and struck out 1,192. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.93.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .257, good for 11th in the league. The White Sox hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Tim Anderson is hitting .334 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 150 hits this season in 449 at bats with 53 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .510 and an OPS+ of 128. Jose Abreu is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 163 hits and he has driven in 116 men in 573 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .518. The White Sox have 1,288 hits, including 234 doubles and 160 home runs. Chicago has walked 350 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,395 times as a unit. They have left 969 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 634 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 60-88 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.43, Justus Sheffield has a 0-1 record and a 1.75 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 22.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 27 hits. He's allowing 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 601 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 611 batters and walked 271 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,387 base knocks and 754 earned runs this season. They have given up 248 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 464 hitters and struck out 1,137 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 5.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 29th in the league. The Mariners hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .305. He has 103 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 367 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .368 with an OPS+ of 82. Mallex Smith is hitting .232 this season and he has an OBP of .304. He has collected 111 hits in 479 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 77 and a slugging percentage of .347. The Mariners as a unit have 1,201 base hits, including 236 doubles and 227 homers. Seattle has walked 538 times this year and they have struck out on 1,449 occasions. They have had 983 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They have scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 710 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's White Sox/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the White Sox (-107)

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