» MLB Picks » Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves MLB Point Spread Picks 8/1/2019

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves MLB Point Spread Picks 8/1/2019

by Tony Sink - 7/31/2019

Thursday, August 1, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Max Fried

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (63-45, 1st in NL East) play the Cincinnati Reds (49-56, 4th in NL Central) at SunTrust Park on Thursday, August 1, 2019. The Braves open this contest at -151 while the Reds are coming in at +141. The O/U has been set at 9.5.

The Reds have been an inconsistent choice for bettors, having gone 49-56-0 SU. Atlanta covers 58.3% of the time, going 63-45-0 straight up. The Braves have been a strong pick for wagerers as a favorite, going 48-24-0 SU. Cincinnati has gone 25-37-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 40.3% of the time.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a great Under choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 39-63-3.

The Reds are covering 41.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 21-30-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves are covering 56.6% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 30-23-0 SU.

The Braves have been a good Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 54-49-5.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/30/2019 David Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/30/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Knee Probable for Jul 31
7/30/2019 Tyler Mahle SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/28/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/26/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/30/2019 Chris Martin RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/29/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/27/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 49-56 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 6-5 record with an earned run average of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.29 this season. He has 110 strikeouts over his 103.1 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.42. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 322 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 389 hitters and walked 155 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 842 base hits and 419 earned runs. They have allowed 133 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 351 batters and struck out 1,005. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Reds hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .336. He has 99 hits this season in 384 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .526 and an OPS+ of 117. Joey Votto is hitting .265 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 99 hits and he has driven in 33 men in 374 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .406. The Reds have 868 hits, including 152 doubles and 143 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 305 times so far this season and they have struck out 917 times as a unit. They have left 668 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 473 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 63-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.21, Max Fried has a 11-4 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 108 strikeouts over the 109 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 120 hits. He's allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 410 batters and walked 191 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 948 base knocks and 464 earned runs this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 401 hitters and struck out 930 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .308 with an OBP of .401. He has 128 hits this year along with 82 RBI in 415 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .564 with an OPS+ of 144. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 125 hits in 433 at bats while driving in 64 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .497. The Braves as a unit have 984 base hits, including 188 doubles and 167 homers. Atlanta has walked 392 times this year and they have struck out on 956 occasions. They have had 763 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 5.37 runs per game and totaled 580 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds +141

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less