Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Baseball Betting Tips 7/16/2019

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Alec Mills

Wrigley Field is the venue where Javier Baez and the Chicago Cubs (50-43, 1st in NL Central) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (42-48, 5th in NL Central) on Tuesday. The Reds open this game at +120 while the Cubs are coming in at -130. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Reds have been a less than ideal pick for bettors, having gone 42-47-0 SU. Chicago is covering 53.3% of the time, going 49-43-0 straight up. The Cubs have been strong for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 40-24-0 SU. Cincinnati is covering 40.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 22-33-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a great Under choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 31-55-3.

Cincinnati is covering 40.9% of the time away from home, having gone 18-26-0 straight up.

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs cover 66.0% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 31-16-0 SU.

The Cubs have been a hot and cold Under choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 46-44-2.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/14/2019 Yasiel Puig RF Knee Probable for Jul 15
7/14/2019 Jesse Winker LF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/14/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/14/2019 Amir Garrett RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/12/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 19

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

7/14/2019 Willson Contreras C Foot Probable for Jul 15
7/13/2019 Cole Hamels SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/12/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/12/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/8/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/8/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 42-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 90 strikeouts over his 86.2 innings pitched and he's given up 91 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 333 hitters and walked 125 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 710 base hits and 341 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 297 batters and struck out 864. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Reds hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Jose Iglesias is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .315. He has 81 hits this season in 287 at bats with 33 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .387 and an OPS+ of 80. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .246 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 333 at bats. His OPS+ is 106 while his slugging percentage is at .489. The Reds have 720 hits, including 124 doubles and 122 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 266 times so far this season and they have struck out 788 times as a unit. They have left 561 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 396 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 50-43 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 274 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 296 batters and walked 146 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 776 base knocks and 374 earned runs this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 314 hitters and struck out 792 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 12th in the league. The Cubs hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Javier Baez comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .323. He has 107 hits this year along with 63 RBI in 370 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .549 with an OPS+ of 119. Willson Contreras is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 75 hits in 262 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .565. The Cubs as a unit have 802 base hits, including 158 doubles and 146 homers. Chicago has walked 361 times this year and they have struck out on 838 occasions. They have had 633 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 5.13 runs per game and totaled 477 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs -130

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