Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Baseball Betting Tips 7/17/2019

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray vs. Yu Darvish

Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (43-48, 5th in NL Central) head to Wrigley Field on Wednesday where they'll take on the Chicago Cubs (50-44, 1st in NL Central). The Cubs open this matchup at -132 while the Reds are coming in at +122. The over/under is set at 10.

The Reds have been decent for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 43-48-0 SU. The Cubs are covering 53.2% of the time, going 50-44-0 straight up. The Cubs have been strong for bettors as favorites, going 41-25-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 40.4% of the time as an underdog, having gone 23-34-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a great Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 32-56-3.

Cincinnati covers 41.3% of the time as a visitor, having gone 19-27-0 straight up.

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago covers 65.3% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 32-17-0 SU.

The Cubs have been a dicey Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 47-45-2.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/16/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Probable for Jul 16
7/15/2019 Jesse Winker LF Side Probable for Jul 16
7/15/2019 Amir Garrett RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/14/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/12/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 19

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

7/16/2019 Willson Contreras C Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/13/2019 Cole Hamels SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/12/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/12/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/8/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/8/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 43-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray has a 5-5 record with an earned run average of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 112 strikeouts over his 97.1 innings pitched and he's given up 79 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.25. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 270 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 337 hitters and walked 126 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 719 base hits and 344 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 301 batters and struck out 878. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Reds hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .246 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 83 hits this season in 337 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .496 and an OPS+ of 107. Jose Iglesias is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .314. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 33 men in 291 at bats. His OPS+ is 80 while his slugging percentage is at .388. The Reds have 730 hits, including 126 doubles and 125 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 268 times so far this season and they have struck out 795 times as a unit. They have left 569 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 402 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 50-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.72, Yu Darvish has a 2-4 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 119 strikeouts over the 103 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 83 hits. He's allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 280 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 298 batters and walked 146 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 786 base knocks and 379 earned runs this season. They have given up 117 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 316 hitters and struck out 799 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 13th in the league. The Cubs hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .404. He has 97 hits this year along with 45 RBI in 331 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .547 with an OPS+ of 143. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 93 hits in 331 at bats while driving in 60 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .523. The Cubs as a unit have 811 base hits, including 161 doubles and 147 homers. Chicago has walked 365 times this year and they have struck out on 852 occasions. They have had 642 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 5.11 runs per game and totaled 480 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs -132

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