Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 5/25/2019
Saturday, May 25, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Tyler Mahle vs. Yu Darvish
Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (22-27, 5th in NL Central) travel to Wrigley Field on Saturday where they'll take on the Chicago Cubs (29-19, 1st in NL Central). The Cubs open this contest at -159 while the Reds are coming in at +149. The over/under opens at 9.
The Reds have been a bad bet for MLB bettors, having gone 22-27-0 SU. The Cubs cover 60.4% of the time, going 29-19-0 straight up. The Cubs have been lousy for Las Vegas as the favorite, going 24-9-0 SU. The Reds cover 31.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 9-20-0 straight up.
Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Reds have been a terrible Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 17-31-1.
Cincinnati is covering 38.5% of the time away from home, having gone 10-16-0 straight up.
Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Cubs cover 68.0% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 17-8-0 SU.
The Cubs have been a dicey Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 26-22-0.
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
05/23/19 RF Yasiel Puig Shoulder is questionable Friday vs Chicago Cubs
05/21/19 P Zach Duke Calf 10-day IL (05/20)
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)
Key Chicago Cubs Injuries
05/22/19 P Xavier Cedeno Wrist 10-day IL (05/22)
05/11/19 P Allen Webster Arm 10-day IL (05/11)
05/08/19 2B Ben Zobrist Personal is out indefinitely
05/08/19 P Pedro Strop Hamstring 10-day IL (05/07)
05/02/19 P Brandon Morrow Elbow 60-day IL (05/02)
03/25/19 P Kendall Graveman Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Tony Barnette Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Reds have a 22-27 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tyler Mahle has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.17 this season. He has 54 strikeouts over his 51.1 innings pitched and he's given up 49 hits. He's allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 152 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 192 hitters and walked 66 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.5. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 373 base hits and 170 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 162 batters and struck out 481. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.47.
As a team Cincinnati is hitting .219, good for 28th in the league. The Reds hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .254 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 45 hits this season in 177 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .531 and an OPS+ of 125. Jose Iglesias is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 47 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 155 at bats. His OPS+ is 99 while his slugging percentage is at .426. The Reds have 355 hits, including 58 doubles and 68 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 149 times so far this season and they have struck out 435 times as a unit. They have left 287 men on base and have a team OPS of .679. They score 4.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 201 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 29-19 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.06, Yu Darvish has a 2-3 record and a 1.56 WHIP. He has 62 strikeouts over the 48 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 39 hits. He's allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 171 batters and walked 94 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 394 base knocks and 177 earned runs this season. They have given up 52 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 190 hitters and struck out 434 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 6th in the league. The Cubs hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .407. He has 49 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 175 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .560 with an OPS+ of 153. Willson Contreras is hitting .310 this season and he has an OBP of .420. He has collected 45 hits in 145 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 165 and a slugging percentage of .593. The Cubs as a unit have 425 base hits, including 86 doubles and 74 homers. Chicago has walked 211 times this year and they have struck out on 428 occasions. They have had 356 men left on base and have an OPS of .802. They have scored 5.42 runs per game and totaled 260 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs -159
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