Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs MLB Point Spread Picks 7/15/2019

Monday, July 15, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs. Kyle Hendricks

Willson Contreras and the Chicago Cubs (49-43, 1st in NL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (42-47, 5th in NL Central) at Wrigley Field on Monday, July 15, 2019. The line on this game has the Reds coming in at +120 and the Cubs are at -130. The total is set at 9.5.

The Reds have been a dicey play for MLB wagerers, having gone 42-47-0 SU. The Cubs are covering 53.3% of the time, going 49-43-0 straight up. The Cubs have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 40-24-0 SU. The Reds are covering 40.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 22-33-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a great Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 31-55-3.

Cincinnati is covering 40.9% of the time as the road team, having gone 18-26-0 straight up.

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago is covering 66.0% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 31-16-0 SU.

The Cubs have been a decent Over bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 46-44-2.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/13/2019 Amir Garrett RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 14
7/13/2019 Scooter Gennett 2B Illness Probable for Jul 14
7/12/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/25/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

7/13/2019 Cole Hamels SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/12/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/12/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/8/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/8/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 42-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Castillo has a 8-3 record with an earned run average of 2.29 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 124 strikeouts over his 106 innings pitched and he's given up 62 hits. He's allowed 5.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 327 hitters and walked 125 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 696 base hits and 335 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 297 batters and struck out 856. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .239, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .248 with an on-base percentage of .328. He has 82 hits this season in 330 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .494 and an OPS+ of 108. Jose Iglesias is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .315. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 33 men in 283 at bats. His OPS+ is 81 while his slugging percentage is at .389. The Reds have 711 hits, including 122 doubles and 121 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 264 times so far this season and they have struck out 780 times as a unit. They have left 559 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 387 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 49-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.49, Kyle Hendricks has a 7-7 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 95.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 93 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 271 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 296 batters and walked 146 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 767 base knocks and 371 earned runs this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 312 hitters and struck out 788 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 13th in the league. The Cubs hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Willson Contreras comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .382. He has 75 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 262 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .565 with an OPS+ of 141. Javier Baez is hitting .290 this season and he has an OBP of .325. He has collected 106 hits in 365 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .553. The Cubs as a unit have 789 base hits, including 156 doubles and 143 homers. Chicago has walked 356 times this year and they have struck out on 832 occasions. They have had 625 men left on base and have an OPS of .790. They have scored 5.1 runs per game and totaled 469 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds +120

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