Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs MLB Point Spread Picks 9/16/2019

Monday, September 16, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray vs. Cole Hamels

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (69-80, 4th in NL Central) are headed to Wrigley Field on Monday where they'll meet the Chicago Cubs (80-68, 2nd in NL Central). The Cubs open this game at -150 while the Reds are priced at +140. The total opens at 9.

The Reds have been decent for MLB wagerers, having gone 69-80-0 SU. Chicago is covering 54.0% of the time, going 80-68-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a decent Under choice for over/under bettors, having gone 57-86-6.

Cincinnati is covering 39.2% of the time as the away team, having gone 29-45-0 straight up.

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago is covering 67.1% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 49-24-0 SU.

The Cubs have been a good Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 67-74-7.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/14/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Undisclosed Probable for Sep 15
9/13/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/12/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/7/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/4/2019 Kyle Farmer 2B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 18

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/14/2019 Addison Russell 2B Head Probable for Sep 15
9/13/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/13/2019 Craig Kimbrel RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/10/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/9/2019 Javier Baez SS Thumb Out for the season
8/22/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Out for the season
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 69-80 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray has a 10-7 record with an earned run average of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 190 strikeouts over his 163.2 innings pitched and he's given up 115 hits. He's allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.43. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 450 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 550 hitters and walked 216 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,180 base hits and 616 earned runs. They have allowed 200 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 495 batters and struck out 1,431. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 132 hits this season in 492 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .423 and an OPS+ of 101. Jose Iglesias is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 134 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 469 at bats. His OPS+ is 84 while his slugging percentage is at .407. The Reds have 1,227 hits, including 213 doubles and 213 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 437 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,311 times as a unit. They have left 960 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 663 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 80-68 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.89, Cole Hamels has a 7-7 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 131 strikeouts over the 134.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 136 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 434 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 500 batters and walked 230 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,247 base knocks and 589 earned runs this season. They have given up 181 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 476 hitters and struck out 1,304 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.26.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 14th in the league. The Cubs hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Kyle Schwarber comes into this matchup batting .231 with an OBP of .323. He has 112 hits this year along with 82 RBI in 484 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .504 with an OPS+ of 108. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .402. He has collected 142 hits in 492 at bats while driving in 93 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Cubs as a unit have 1,256 base hits, including 243 doubles and 237 homers. Chicago has walked 536 times this year and they have struck out on 1,343 occasions. They have had 980 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.04 runs per game and totaled 746 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds (+140)

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