Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins MLB Picks 8/26/2019

Monday, August 26, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray vs. Caleb Smith

Marlins Park is the site where Garrett Cooper and the Miami Marlins (46-82, 5th in NL East) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (60-68, 4th in NL Central) on Monday. The Marlins open this game at +145 while the Reds are priced at -155. The O/U is set at 8.

The Reds have been decent for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 60-68-0 SU. The Marlins cover 35.9% of the time, going 46-82-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been an excellent Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 49-74-5.

The Reds cover 38.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 23-37-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins cover 39.4% of the time at Marlins Park, going 26-40-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a hot and cold Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 60-60-8.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/24/2019 Joey Votto 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/22/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/21/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 28

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/25/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/24/2019 Miguel Rojas SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/23/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/20/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/17/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/17/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/15/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 60-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.12 this season. He has 164 strikeouts over his 138.2 innings pitched and he's given up 102 hits. He's allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 392 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 473 hitters and walked 192 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,032 base hits and 530 earned runs. They have allowed 171 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 429 batters and struck out 1,227. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .250, good for 17th in the league. The Reds hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .255 with an on-base percentage of .336. He has 118 hits this season in 463 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 115. Tucker Barnhart is hitting .236 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 237 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .388. The Reds have 1,074 hits, including 188 doubles and 178 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 369 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,113 times as a unit. They have left 833 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 572 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 46-82 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.82, Caleb Smith has a 8-7 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 138 strikeouts over the 117.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 86 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.14 and they have given up 426 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 451 batters and walked 210 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,043 base knocks and 598 earned runs this season. They have given up 188 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 495 hitters and struck out 1,104 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Garrett Cooper comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .350. He has 89 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 315 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .441 with an OPS+ of 109. Starlin Castro is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .285. He has collected 133 hits in 507 at bats while driving in 65 runs. He has an OPS+ of 77 and a slugging percentage of .391. The Marlins as a unit have 1,049 base hits, including 207 doubles and 108 homers. Miami has walked 299 times this year and they have struck out on 1,150 occasions. They have had 820 men left on base and have an OPS of .668. They have scored 3.73 runs per game and totaled 478 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds (-155)

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