Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins MLB Point Spread Picks 8/29/2019

Thursday, August 29, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Alex Wood vs. Jordan Yamamoto

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (62-69, 4th in NL Central) go to Marlins Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (47-84, 5th in NL East). The Marlins open this matchup at +140 while the Reds are coming in at -150. The over/under is set at 8.5.

The Reds have been a hot and cold pick for MLB bettors, having gone 62-69-0 SU. Miami covers 35.9% of the time, going 47-84-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been an excellent Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 52-74-5.

Cincinnati covers 39.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 25-38-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are covering 39.1% of the time at Marlins Park, going 27-42-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a good Over choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 62-61-8.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/22/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/21/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 28

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/27/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/27/2019 Miguel Rojas SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/27/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/26/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/25/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/20/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/15/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 62-69 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Alex Wood has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 6.07 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 22 strikeouts over his 29.2 innings pitched and he's given up 35 hits. He's allowed 10.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.49 and they have given up 402 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 486 hitters and walked 195 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,059 base hits and 546 earned runs. They have allowed 174 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 441 batters and struck out 1,259. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .251, good for 17th in the league. The Reds hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .352. He has 111 hits this season in 424 at bats with 39 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .410 and an OPS+ of 96. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 121 hits and he has driven in 80 men in 472 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .528. The Reds have 1,107 hits, including 191 doubles and 187 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 377 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,139 times as a unit. They have left 857 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 594 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 47-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.87, Jordan Yamamoto has a 4-5 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 68.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 47 hits. He's allowing 6.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.11 and they have given up 439 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 461 batters and walked 213 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,069 base knocks and 614 earned runs this season. They have given up 195 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 502 hitters and struck out 1,127 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 28th in the league. The Marlins hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .262 with an OBP of .285. He has 135 hits this year along with 67 RBI in 515 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .390 with an OPS+ of 77. Garrett Cooper is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 90 hits in 321 at bats while driving in 43 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .436. The Marlins as a unit have 1,070 base hits, including 211 doubles and 111 homers. Miami has walked 309 times this year and they have struck out on 1,184 occasions. They have had 837 men left on base and have an OPS of .668. They have scored 3.73 runs per game and totaled 489 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds (-150)

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