Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 5/21/2019

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray vs. Gio Gonzalez

Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (28-21, 2nd in NL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (21-26, 5th in NL Central) at Miller Park on Tuesday, May 21, 2019. The moneyline on this game has the Reds coming in at +130 and the Brewers are at -140. The O/U is set at 9.

The Reds have been terrible for wagerers, having gone 21-26-0 SU. The Brewers cover 57.1% of the time, going 28-21-0 straight up. The Brewers have been awful for oddsmakers as the favorite, going 14-8-0 SU. The Reds cover 28.6% of the time as an underdog, having gone 8-20-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a great Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 16-30-1.

The Reds cover 37.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 9-15-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 66.7% of the time at Miller Park, going 16-8-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a great Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 19-29-1.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

05/19/19 RF Yasiel Puig Shoulder left last game, is questionable
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

05/16/19 C Manny Pina Hamstring 10-day IL (05/16)
05/14/19 3B Travis Shaw Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
04/11/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow 60-day IL (04/11); is out for season
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL 60-day IL (04/05); is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 21-26 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray has a 0-4 record with an earned run average of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 48 strikeouts over his 44 innings pitched and he's given up 36 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.25. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 180 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 354 base hits and 159 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 153 batters and struck out 458. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .218, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .259 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 44 hits this season in 170 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .547 and an OPS+ of 128. Jose Iglesias is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 43 hits and he has driven in 15 men in 146 at bats. His OPS+ is 96 while his slugging percentage is at .425. The Reds have 340 hits, including 56 doubles and 66 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 141 times so far this season and they have struck out 415 times as a unit. They have left 277 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 189 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 28-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.69, Gio Gonzalez has a 2-0 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 21.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 18 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 166 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 219 batters and walked 86 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 412 base knocks and 210 earned runs this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 178 hitters and struck out 447 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Brewers hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .326. He has 52 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 195 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .405 with an OPS+ of 93. Christian Yelich is hitting .325 this season and he has an OBP of .440. He has collected 51 hits in 157 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 203 and a slugging percentage of .732. The Brewers as a unit have 417 base hits, including 72 doubles and 78 homers. Milwaukee has walked 195 times this year and they have struck out on 469 occasions. They have had 351 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 239 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -140

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