Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/23/2019
Tuesday, July 23, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark vs. Zach Davies
Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-48, 2nd in NL Central) host the Cincinnati Reds (44-53, 5th in NL Central) at Miller Park on Tuesday, July 23, 2019. The Reds open this contest at +125 while the Brewers are priced at -135. The O/U opens at 9.
The Reds have been a hot and cold play for MLB wagerers, having gone 44-53-0 SU. The Brewers cover 52.5% of the time, going 53-48-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a solid bet for baseball wagerers as the favorite, going 33-27-0 SU. Cincinnati has went 23-36-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 39.0% of the time.
Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Reds have been an awful Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 34-60-3.
The Reds cover 39.6% of the time as the visitor, having gone 19-29-0 straight up.
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
Milwaukee covers 58.8% of the time at Miller Park, going 30-21-0 SU.
The Brewers have been a good Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 46-51-4.
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
7/21/2019 Nick Senzel CF Hamstring Probable for Jul 22
7/21/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Knee Probable for Jul 22
7/20/2019 Tyler Mahle SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/19/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/19/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/18/2019 Kyle Farmer 2B Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/18/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/18/2019 David Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
7/21/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/21/2019 Ryan Braun LF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/17/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/15/2019 Corbin Burnes RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Reds have a 44-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tanner Roark has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 101 strikeouts over his 102 innings pitched and he's given up 107 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 292 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 357 hitters and walked 135 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 768 base hits and 372 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 315 batters and struck out 936. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.
As a team Cincinnati is hitting .242, good for 26th in the league. The Reds hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 88 hits this season in 341 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .393 and an OPS+ of 91. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .251 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 89 hits and he has driven in 60 men in 355 at bats. His OPS+ is 111 while his slugging percentage is at .504. The Reds have 787 hits, including 139 doubles and 131 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 284 times so far this season and they have struck out 850 times as a unit. They have left 617 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 426 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee has a 53-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.79, Zach Davies has a 8-2 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 68 strikeouts over the 109.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 110 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 356 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 457 batters and walked 178 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 890 base knocks and 465 earned runs this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 355 hitters and struck out 932 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .337 with an OBP of .436. He has 115 hits this year along with 76 RBI in 341 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .721 with an OPS+ of 192. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .247 this season and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 94 hits in 381 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 74 and a slugging percentage of .362. The Brewers as a unit have 866 base hits, including 175 doubles and 169 homers. Milwaukee has walked 380 times this year and they have struck out on 959 occasions. They have had 709 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They have scored 4.89 runs per game and totaled 494 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -135
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks