» MLB Picks » Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/24/2019

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/24/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 7/23/2019

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Sims vs. Jhoulys Chacin

Miller Park is the site where Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-49, 3rd in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (45-53, 5th in NL Central) on Wednesday. The Reds open this game at +138 while the Brewers are coming in at -148. The O/U has been set at 10.

The Reds have been less than ideal for wagerers, having gone 45-53-0 SU. The Brewers cover 52.0% of the time, going 53-49-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a good play for bettors as favorites, going 33-28-0 SU. The Reds cover 40.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 24-36-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been an awful Over play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 35-60-3.

The Reds cover 40.8% of the time away from home, having gone 20-29-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee is covering 57.7% of the time at Miller Park, going 30-22-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a hot and cold Over play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 47-51-4.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/22/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Knee Probable for Jul 23
7/22/2019 Tyler Mahle SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/19/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/19/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/18/2019 Kyle Farmer 2B Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/18/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/18/2019 David Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/22/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Quadriceps Probable for Jul 23
7/22/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
7/21/2019 Ryan Braun LF Back Probable for Jul 23
7/17/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/15/2019 Corbin Burnes RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 45-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lucas Sims has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 3.72 and a WHIP of 0.93 this season. He has 12 strikeouts over his 9.2 innings pitched and he's given up 7 hits. He's allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 296 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 362 hitters and walked 140 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 776 base hits and 377 earned runs. They have allowed 121 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 322 batters and struck out 948. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .243, good for 23rd in the league. The Reds hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .253 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 91 hits this season in 360 at bats with 64 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .519 and an OPS+ of 115. Joey Votto is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 90 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 346 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .393. The Reds have 799 hits, including 140 doubles and 133 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 287 times so far this season and they have struck out 857 times as a unit. They have left 624 men on base and have a team OPS of .731. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 432 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 53-49 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.67, Jhoulys Chacin has a 3-10 record and a 1.53 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 85.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 93 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 361 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 458 batters and walked 179 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 902 base knocks and 471 earned runs this season. They have given up 137 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 358 hitters and struck out 939 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .249 with an OBP of .315. He has 96 hits this year along with 34 RBI in 385 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .364 with an OPS+ of 75. Christian Yelich is hitting .337 this season and he has an OBP of .438. He has collected 116 hits in 344 at bats while driving in 76 runs. He has an OPS+ of 191 and a slugging percentage of .718. The Brewers as a unit have 874 base hits, including 177 doubles and 170 homers. Milwaukee has walked 387 times this year and they have struck out on 971 occasions. They have had 719 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They have scored 4.89 runs per game and totaled 499 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -148

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less