Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Baseball Betting Tips 4/30/2019

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs. Jason Vargas

The Cincinnati Reds visit Citi Field on Tuesday, April 30, 2019 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Luis Castillo for the Reds and Jason Vargas for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at -120 and New York at +110. The Reds have a 6-20-1 over/under record and a 14-13-0 run line mark. The Mets are 15-12-0 against the run line and have a 17-7-3 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 6-20-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-13-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 17-7-3 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 15-12-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/23/19 LF Matt Kemp Ribs 10-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key New York Mets Injuries

04/28/19 2B Robinson Cano Hand left last game, is questionable Monday vs Cincinnati Reds
04/22/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (04/22)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 11-16 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Castillo has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 43 strikeouts over his 36.2 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 5.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 82 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 89 hitters and walked 41 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.35. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 206 base hits and 88 earned runs. They have allowed 20 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 92 batters and struck out 246. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .209, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .279, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.7 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .242 with an on-base percentage of .343. He has 22 hits this season in 91 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .495 and an OPS+ of 115. Joey Votto is hitting .233 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 20 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 86 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .407. The Reds have 181 hits, including 35 doubles and 36 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 77 times so far this season and they have struck out 238 times as a unit. They have left 142 men on base and have a team OPS of .658. They score 3.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 101 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 14-13 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.20, Jason Vargas has a 1-1 record and a 1.93 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 15 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 20 hits. He's allowing 12 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.70 and they have given up 108 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 109 batters and walked 49 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.32. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 247 base knocks and 141 earned runs this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 104 hitters and struck out 262 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 9th in the league. The Mets hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .408. He has 26 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 96 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .531 with an OPS+ of 156. Pete Alonso is hitting .306 this season and he has an OBP of .398. He has collected 30 hits in 98 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 190 and a slugging percentage of .684. The Mets as a unit have 246 base hits, including 46 doubles and 33 homers. New York has walked 106 times this year and they have struck out on 255 occasions. They have had 215 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 5.22 runs per game and totaled 141 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets +110

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