Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/29/2019

Monday, April 29, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark vs. Zack Wheeler

The Cincinnati Reds visit Citi Field on Monday, April 29, 2019 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Tanner Roark for the Reds and Zack Wheeler for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +136 and New York at -146. The Reds have a 6-19-1 over/under record and a 14-12-0 run line mark. The Mets are 14-12-0 against the run line and have a 17-6-3 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 6-19-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-12-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 17-6-3 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 14-12-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/23/19 LF Matt Kemp Ribs 10-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key New York Mets Injuries

04/22/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (04/22)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 11-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tanner Roark has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.60 this season. He has 24 strikeouts over his 25 innings pitched and he's given up 29 hits. He's allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 78 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen and they've struck out 86 hitters and walked 39 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.27. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 199 base hits and 83 earned runs. They have allowed 20 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 88 batters and struck out 238. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .208, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .280, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.7 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .241 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 21 hits this season in 87 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .506 and an OPS+ of 119. Joey Votto is hitting .232 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 19 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 82 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .415. The Reds have 173 hits, including 33 doubles and 36 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 76 times so far this season and they have struck out 232 times as a unit. They have left 136 men on base and have a team OPS of .663. They score 3.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 99 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 13-13 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.85, Zack Wheeler has a 2-2 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 29.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 26 hits. He's allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.82 and they have given up 108 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 105 batters and walked 49 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.45. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 242 base knocks and 139 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 104 hitters and struck out 254 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 7th in the league. The Mets hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .398. He has 26 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 96 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .531 with an OPS+ of 153. Pete Alonso is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 29 hits in 94 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 190 and a slugging percentage of .681. The Mets as a unit have 237 base hits, including 44 doubles and 33 homers. New York has walked 101 times this year and they have struck out on 248 occasions. They have had 207 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 5.23 runs per game and totaled 136 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds +136

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