Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/2/2019

Thursday, May 2, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tyler Mahle vs. Noah Syndergaard

The Cincinnati Reds visit Citi Field on Thursday, May 2, 2019 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Tyler Mahle for the Reds and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +165 and New York at -175. The Reds have a 7-21-1 over/under record and a 15-14-0 run line mark. The Mets are 16-13-0 against the run line and have a 18-8-3 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 7-21-1 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-14-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 18-8-3 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 16-13-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/23/19 LF Matt Kemp Ribs 10-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key New York Mets Injuries

04/30/19 2B Robinson Cano Hand is questionable Wednesday vs Cincinnati Reds
04/22/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (04/22)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 12-17 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tyler Mahle has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 26 strikeouts over his 28 innings pitched and he's given up 32 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 88 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 101 hitters and walked 44 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 221 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 21 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 102 batters and struck out 268. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.43.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .212, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.8 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .230 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 23 hits this season in 100 at bats with 16 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .490 and an OPS+ of 109. Joey Votto is hitting .245 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 23 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 94 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .415. The Reds have 198 hits, including 39 doubles and 38 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 89 times so far this season and they have struck out 257 times as a unit. They have left 162 men on base and have a team OPS of .667. They score 3.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 109 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 15-14 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.35, Noah Syndergaard has a 1-3 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 34 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 40 hits. He's allowing 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.55 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 119 batters and walked 55 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 264 base knocks and 149 earned runs this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 116 hitters and struck out 281 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Mets hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .403. He has 28 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 104 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .519 with an OPS+ of 155. Pete Alonso is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 31 hits in 106 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 178 and a slugging percentage of .642. The Mets as a unit have 261 base hits, including 51 doubles and 34 homers. New York has walked 116 times this year and they have struck out on 277 occasions. They have had 231 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 5.14 runs per game and totaled 149 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds +165

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