Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Steven Brault

PNC Park is the site where Adam Frazier and the Pittsburgh Pirates (67-91, 5th in NL Central) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (73-85, 4th in NL Central) on Friday. The Pirates open this contest at -105 while the Reds are priced at -105. The O/U is set at 9.

The Reds have been a decent choice for baseball bettors, having gone 73-85-0 SU. The Pirates cover 42.4% of the time, going 67-91-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a pretty good Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 60-91-7.

The Reds cover 41.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 32-46-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh covers 43.4% of the time at PNC Park, going 33-43-0 SU.

The Pirates have been an excellent Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 91-61-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/26/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Probable for Sep 26
9/26/2019 Robert Stephenson RP Illness Probable for Sep 26
9/26/2019 Michael Lorenzen RP Illness Probable for Sep 26
9/26/2019 Joel Kuhnel RP Illness Probable for Sep 26
9/25/2019 Sonny Gray SP Elbow Out for the season
9/25/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/25/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 26
9/24/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/25/2019 Josh Bell 1B Groin Out for the season
9/25/2019 Bryan Reynolds LF Hamstring Probable for Sep 26
9/25/2019 Cole Tucker SS Knee Out for the season
9/25/2019 Elias Diaz C Knee Out for the season
9/25/2019 Starling Marte CF Wrist Out for the season
9/17/2019 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/13/2019 Kyle Crick RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jason Martin LF Shoulder Out for the season
9/4/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Out for the season
8/14/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
8/8/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 73-85 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 9-9 record with an earned run average of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 162 strikeouts over his 161.2 innings pitched and he's given up 143 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.43. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 479 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen and they've struck out 586 hitters and walked 231 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,243 base hits and 655 earned runs. They have allowed 212 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 525 batters and struck out 1,519. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .243, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 137 hits this season in 513 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .421 and an OPS+ of 103. Jose Iglesias is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .309. He has totaled 139 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 492 at bats. His OPS+ is 82 while his slugging percentage is at .400. The Reds have 1,291 hits, including 222 doubles and 222 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 470 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,398 times as a unit. They have left 1,031 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 686 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 67-91 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.07, Steven Brault has a 4-6 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 108.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 113 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 603 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 670 batters and walked 292 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,477 base knocks and 813 earned runs this season. They have given up 237 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 562 hitters and struck out 1,401 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.80.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Pirates hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Adam Frazier comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .338. He has 151 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 538 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .422 with an OPS+ of 100. Kevin Newman is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 147 hits in 476 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .439. The Pirates as a unit have 1,459 base hits, including 309 doubles and 161 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 417 times this year and they have struck out on 1,187 occasions. They have had 1,078 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.68 runs per game and totaled 740 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates (-105)

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