Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Bauer vs. Trevor Williams

Adam Frazier and the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-91, 5th in NL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (73-87, 4th in NL Central) at PNC Park on Sunday, September 29, 2019. The Reds open this contest at -130 while the Pirates are priced at +120. The over/under opens at 8.5.

The Reds have been dicey for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 73-87-0 SU. The Pirates cover 43.1% of the time, going 69-91-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a pretty good Under choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 61-91-8.

The Reds cover 40.5% of the time as a visitor, having gone 32-47-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh covers 44.9% of the time at PNC Park, going 35-43-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a terrible Under choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 93-61-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/27/2019 Robert Stephenson RP Illness Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Shoulder Out for the season
9/27/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/27/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Joel Kuhnel RP Illness Probable for Sep 28
9/25/2019 Sonny Gray SP Elbow Out for the season
9/21/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/27/2019 Colin Moran 3B Hip Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Bryan Reynolds LF Hamstring Probable for Sep 28
9/25/2019 Starling Marte CF Wrist Out for the season
9/25/2019 Elias Diaz C Knee Out for the season
9/25/2019 Josh Bell 1B Groin Out for the season
9/25/2019 Cole Tucker SS Knee Out for the season
9/17/2019 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/13/2019 Kyle Crick RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jason Martin LF Shoulder Out for the season
9/4/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Out for the season
8/14/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
8/8/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 73-87 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer has a 11-13 record with an earned run average of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 253 strikeouts over his 213 innings pitched and he's given up 184 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.35. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 593 hitters and walked 231 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,258 base hits and 665 earned runs. They have allowed 214 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 530 batters and struck out 1,539. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .243, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .360. He has 137 hits this season in 518 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .417 and an OPS+ of 101. Jose Iglesias is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 142 hits and he has driven in 57 men in 500 at bats. His OPS+ is 83 while his slugging percentage is at .402. The Reds have 1,307 hits, including 228 doubles and 223 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 481 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,422 times as a unit. They have left 1,051 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 694 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 69-91 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.52, Trevor Williams has a 7-8 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 108 strikeouts over the 138.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 157 hits. He's allowing 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.94 and they have given up 609 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 680 batters and walked 297 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,490 base knocks and 822 earned runs this season. They have given up 237 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 573 hitters and struck out 1,429 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.77.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 5th in the league. The Pirates hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Adam Frazier comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .338. He has 153 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 546 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .419 with an OPS+ of 100. Kevin Newman is hitting .310 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 150 hits in 484 at bats while driving in 64 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .450. The Pirates as a unit have 1,485 base hits, including 313 doubles and 163 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 419 times this year and they have struck out on 1,200 occasions. They have had 1,090 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 755 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates (+120)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn