Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 6/29/2019
Saturday, June 29, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Zach Plesac vs. Andrew Cashner
Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (22-58, 5th in AL East) play the Cleveland Indians (44-36, 2nd in AL Central) at Oriole Park on Saturday, June 29, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Indians coming in at -200 and the Orioles are at +185. The over/under has been set at 10.
The Indians have been a decent pick for wagerers, having gone 44-36-0 SU. The Orioles cover 27.5% of the time, going 22-58-0 straight up. The Indians have been hot and cold for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 33-29-0 SU. The Orioles cover 26.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 20-56-0 straight up.
Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Indians have been a very good Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 33-44-3.
The Indians cover 51.3% of the time on the road, having gone 19-18-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore is covering 23.1% of the time at Oriole Park, going 9-30-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a pretty good Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 40-35-5.
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
6/27/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
6/27/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/26/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/25/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/25/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/21/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/5/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
6/26/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 John Means SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/26/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/26/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Josh Lucas RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Indians have a 44-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Plesac has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 2.33 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 28 strikeouts over his 38.2 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He's allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.39 and they have given up 231 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 261 hitters and walked 79 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 633 base hits and 301 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 224 batters and struck out 756. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.
As a team Cleveland is hitting .239, good for 24th in the league. The Indians hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .290 with an on-base percentage of .411. He has 82 hits this season in 283 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .541 and an OPS+ of 148. Francisco Lindor is hitting .298 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 74 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 248 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .512. The Indians have 630 hits, including 122 doubles and 104 home runs. Cleveland has walked 291 times so far this season and they have struck out 674 times as a unit. They have left 534 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.44 runs per contest and have scored a total of 355 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 22-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.37, Andrew Cashner has a 7-3 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 82.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 80 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.34 and they have given up 348 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 316 batters and walked 157 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.93. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 766 base knocks and 465 earned runs this season. They have given up 165 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 300 hitters and struck out 613 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 5.93.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 25th in the league. The Orioles hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .315. He has 77 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 306 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .415 with an OPS+ of 95. Trey Mancini is hitting .298 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 87 hits in 292 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 139 and a slugging percentage of .548. The Orioles as a unit have 650 base hits, including 122 doubles and 94 homers. Baltimore has walked 214 times this year and they have struck out on 721 occasions. They have had 521 men left on base and have an OPS of .694. They have scored 4.01 runs per game and totaled 321 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Indians/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +185
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